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Da3vil

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9441…98ba with our methodology badges per row.

0x94414739e5ae89870850e7a26a2a786130c298ba·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
+11%
historical realized
Win rate
28.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$109.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
30
Distinct markets
24
Volume (90d)
$114.1K
avg $3,802 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$62.2K / $51.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 30 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 06:16 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.100$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:15 PMLautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.133$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:13 PMJulián Álvarez: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.210$2,000Conviction tier
Jul 19, 06:13 PMEnzo Fernández: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.120$1,190Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:13 PMEnzo Fernández: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.130$1,810Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:08 PMExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY YES0.040$1,500—
Jul 19, 06:07 PMExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY YES0.031$1,500—
Jul 19, 06:07 PMExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY YES0.080$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:06 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?BUY YES0.090$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:06 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY YES0.330$4,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 07:37 PMExact Score: France 2 - 1 England?BUY YES0.120$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 07:37 PMExact Score: France 3 - 2 England?BUY YES0.060$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 07:37 PMExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?BUY YES0.080$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 16, 03:04 PMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?SELL YES0.119$1,180— (SELL)
Jul 16, 03:04 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL YES0.110$2,292— (SELL)
Jul 16, 12:25 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY YES0.120$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 09:43 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.581$30.1K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:43 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.641$14.2K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 06:58 PMExact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?BUY YES0.017$1,000—
Jul 15, 06:58 PMExact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.110$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:57 PMExact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY YES0.060$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:57 PMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY YES0.090$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 12:49 AMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.202$2,000Conviction tier
Jul 10, 09:04 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?SELL YES0.999$4,162— (SELL)
Jul 10, 10:26 AMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.380$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 10:01 AMExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?BUY YES0.110$2,200Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 10:00 AMExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?BUY YES0.120$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 05:20 PMExact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.060$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 05:17 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.423$6,000—
Jul 9, 05:17 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.193$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

24 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech2$40.1K$-20,070
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$23.2K$-5,156
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Tech2$4,792+$208
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Tech1$4,162$-4,162
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Tech1$4,000+$4,000
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Tech2$3,180+$820
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsOther2$3,000+$3,000
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?Tech1$2,200+$2,200
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?Tech1$2,000+$2,000
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsOther1$2,000+$2,000
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsOther1$2,000+$2,000
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?Tech1$2,000+$2,000
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?Tech1$2,000+$2,000
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?Tech1$2,000+$2,000
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?Tech1$1,500+$1,500
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?Tech1$1,500+$1,500
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?Other1$1,500+$1,500
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?Other1$1,000+$1,000