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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x92e5…efee with our methodology badges per row.

0x92e53057ef2872722a53fe807245bd387e1defee·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-22%
historical realized
Win rate
75.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$73.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -22% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
40
Distinct markets
32
Volume (90d)
$300.5K
avg $7,514 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$174.0K / $126.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 40 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 03:54 PMChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY YES0.615$2,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:45 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.965$21.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:03 AMWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY YES0.540$4,594—
Jul 9, 04:11 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.960$21.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 09:08 PMWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY NO0.925$4,266Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:31 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY YES0.980$10.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:30 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY YES0.950$3,772Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:34 AMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL NO0.510$2,003— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:22 PMWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?BUY NO0.948$5,905Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 04:55 PMWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY YES0.349$1,967Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 03:42 PMWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.440$2,241—
Jun 25, 06:53 AMAlien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?SELL NO0.999$69.9K— (SELL)
Jun 25, 02:29 AMAlien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?BUY NO0.999$69.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:50 PMWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?SELL YES0.740$2,477— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:50 PMWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY YES0.250$1,161Cheap band — no rep
Jun 9, 01:31 PM0xc4c3dbccBUY NO0.060$1,053Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 01:31 PM0xc4c3dbccSELL YES0.940$10.1K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 06:46 AMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL NO0.994$2,186— (SELL)
Jun 9, 06:45 AM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.920$2,051Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 12:20 AM0xac084d65SELL YES0.999$3,489— (SELL)
Jun 8, 09:41 PMIran closes its airspace by June 8?SELL YES0.998$1,663— (SELL)
Jun 3, 05:53 AMWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY NO0.912$1,269Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:40 AM0x583a5056BUY NO0.220$1,281Cheap band — no rep
Jun 3, 03:51 AM0x9af5f845BUY YES0.181$1,141Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 01:53 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.996$11.1K— (SELL)
Jun 2, 11:54 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.990$11.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 09:40 PMWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY YES0.760$1,136Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:28 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL YES0.060$1,475— (SELL)
May 25, 11:16 PM0xbcacd5a0SELL NO0.978$2,010— (SELL)
May 25, 10:54 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?SELL YES0.981$1,090— (SELL)
May 24, 02:53 AM0x789c947aSELL NO0.996$2,213— (SELL)
May 24, 12:21 AMHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL NO0.947$3,156— (SELL)
May 23, 11:58 PM0x79e7d16fSELL NO0.996$1,328— (SELL)
May 23, 09:15 PM0xae6d3d20SELL NO0.987$8,242— (SELL)
May 23, 09:04 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.969$1,619— (SELL)
May 23, 08:48 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?SELL YES0.999$1,110— (SELL)
May 23, 08:44 PM0xe033fd23SELL NO0.990$1,453— (SELL)
May 23, 08:42 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.610$1,741Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 03:54 AM0x9c4c7199BUY YES0.910$1,243Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 07:03 PM0xa8e8cdf6BUY YES0.730$1,703Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

32 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?Other2$139.9K$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto2$22.1K$-67
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Tech1$21.8K+$21.8K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Tech1$21.3K+$21.3K
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Other3$16.2K+$12.2K
0xc4c3dbcc—3$13.2K$-6,976
0xae6d3d20—1$8,242$-8,242
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Other1$5,905+$5,905
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics1$4,594+$4,594
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics1$4,266+$4,266
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics2$3,613$-1,341
0xac084d65—1$3,489$-3,489
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other2$3,216+$266
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Other1$3,156$-3,156
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Other1$2,980+$2,980
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Other1$2,241+$2,241
0x789c947a—1$2,213$-2,213
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics1$2,186$-2,186
0xbcacd5a0—1$2,010$-2,010
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Other1$1,967+$1,967
0xa8e8cdf6—1$1,703+$1,703
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Tech1$1,663$-1,663
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other1$1,619$-1,619
0xe033fd23—1$1,453$-1,453
0x79e7d16f—1$1,328$-1,328
0x583a5056—1$1,281+$1,281
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics1$1,269+$1,269
0x9c4c7199—1$1,243+$1,243
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics1$1,161+$1,161
0x9af5f845—1$1,141+$1,141

Showing top 30 by volume.