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Trustinghorse

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x92a6…8b84 with our methodology badges per row.

0x92a6294cd55b9c6ccd57efaffc365ad943118b84·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
140
lifetime
PnL per $
-0%
historical realized
Win rate
99.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$975.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 140 resolved trades · -0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
112
Volume (90d)
$1.55M
avg $7,772 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.54M / $9,389
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 05:40 PMWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY NO0.999$3,327Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 05:37 PMWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY NO0.999$3,755Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 01:41 PMTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?BUY YES0.999$10.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 01:39 PMWill no new Avengers: Doomsday trailer be released?BUY NO0.999$2,519Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 11:10 AMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?BUY NO0.999$5,660Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 09:04 AMUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19?BUY NO0.999$1,467Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 07:41 AMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?BUY NO0.998$37.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:52 PMWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY YES0.960$4,699Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:42 PMWill Tom Brady attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY YES0.999$9,107Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:41 PMWill Tom Brady attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY YES0.999$3,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:09 PMWill Lionel Messi Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY NO0.999$1,009Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:52 PMWill Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?BUY NO0.999$1,175Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:51 PMWill Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?BUY NO0.998$1,124Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:47 PMWill The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?BUY NO0.999$1,233Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:07 PM0xec78c169BUY NO0.998$1,036Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 03:50 PMWill Trump attend 1 World Cup match?BUY YES0.988$2,819Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 03:50 PMWill Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?BUY NO0.989$1,787Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 03:49 PMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.990$13.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 02:13 PMWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY YES0.999$19.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 12:23 PMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?BUY YES0.999$3,979Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:51 AMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?BUY YES0.998$3,114Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:02 AMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?BUY YES0.998$2,602Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PMWill Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?BUY NO0.999$1,045Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 08:37 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.973$1,217Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 05:54 AMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY NO0.989$9,696Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 05:54 AMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY NO0.989$1,978Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 04:57 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.972$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 03:24 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.973$4,777Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 02:24 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.976$5,269Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 01:18 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.974$1,164Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 12:13 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.976$1,924Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 11:55 PMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.972$1,522Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 05:12 PMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.979$1,909Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 03:53 PMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.975$1,738Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 11:12 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.982$5,281Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 09:17 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.979$4,474Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 04:18 AMIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 17?BUY YES0.999$10.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 03:54 AMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.980$3,511Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 05:23 PMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.975$1,949Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 11:41 AMOver $1B crypto hack value in 2026?BUY YES0.998$2,647Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 12:20 AMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?BUY YES0.999$7,989Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 12:19 AMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?BUY YES0.999$3,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 12:03 AMWill Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?BUY NO0.999$26.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 12:02 AMWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?BUY YES0.993$2,623Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 08:11 AMIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?BUY NO0.999$14.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 05:44 AMWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?BUY YES0.969$1,567Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:09 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 12?BUY YES0.999$2,205Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:08 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?BUY YES0.998$4,411Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:08 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?BUY YES0.999$4,142Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:07 AMIran successfully targets shipping by August 31?BUY YES0.999$2,163Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:49 PMWill Erling Haaland score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.999$4,450Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:04 PMIran successfully targets shipping by July 12?BUY YES0.989$1,078Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:00 PMIran successfully targets shipping by July 12?BUY YES0.989$1,078Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:50 PMIran successfully targets shipping by July 12?BUY YES0.979$3,368Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:32 PMUS bank failure by July 31?BUY YES0.999$14.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 11:24 AMTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?BUY YES0.989$1,281Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 11:24 AMTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?BUY YES0.990$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 11:05 AMIran successfully targets shipping on July 6?BUY NO0.986$2,866Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 11:01 AMIran successfully targets shipping on July 8?BUY NO0.999$4,988Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 11:00 AMWill Future feature Kendrick Lamar on "The Real Me"?BUY NO0.999$1,270Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 04:23 AMTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?BUY YES0.880$1,320Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 02:10 AMWill GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.999$5,195Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 02:07 AMWill GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 17, 2026?BUY YES0.999$6,308Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 01:07 AMTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?BUY YES0.863$1,640Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 01:30 AMOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?BUY NO0.999$1,221Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:58 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY YES0.999$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:40 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY YES0.999$15.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:54 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY YES0.999$132.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:31 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY YES0.997$4,705Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:31 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY YES0.995$2,870Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:55 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY NO0.860$7,061Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:46 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY NO0.850$3,173Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:13 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?BUY YES0.999$5,396Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:04 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?BUY YES0.999$2,997Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:03 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?BUY YES0.998$2,545Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:02 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?BUY YES0.999$6,994Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:02 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?BUY YES0.999$7,016Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:02 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?BUY YES0.994$6,482Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:27 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?BUY YES0.989$2,836Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:32 AMWill Christian Pulisic record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.998$4,478Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 03:12 AMAre there between 1,500,000 and 2,000,000 pennies in the room?BUY NO0.999$2,387Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 03:12 AMAre there between 2,000,000 and 2,500,000 pennies in the room?BUY NO0.999$2,553Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 03:12 AMAre there between 2,500,000 and 3,000,000 pennies in the room?BUY NO0.999$2,553Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 03:11 AMAre there less than 500,000 pennies in the room?BUY NO0.999$2,920Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:09 AMWill the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?BUY YES0.999$1,360Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:59 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?BUY YES0.983$4,321Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:45 AMIran successfully targets shipping by August 31?BUY YES0.989$1,214Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:30 AMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?BUY YES0.949$3,796Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:20 AMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL NO0.571$2,639— (SELL)
Jul 6, 11:07 PMSudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.999$4,930Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 12:53 AMEngland-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?BUY YES0.999$4,102Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 12:47 AMEngland-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?BUY YES0.999$9,269Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 07:39 PMWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July?BUY YES0.999$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 05:04 PMWill Max Stanford Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)?BUY NO0.999$1,995Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 05:04 PMWill Max Stanford Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)?BUY NO0.999$3,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 03:52 PMWill Semora Kludy Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(women's)BUY NO0.999$4,290Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 03:51 PMWill Cherish Brown Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(women's)BUY NO0.999$4,290Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 03:51 PMWill Lauren Pace-Fraunfelter Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(women's)BUY NO0.999$4,290Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 03:28 PMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 1, 2026?BUY YES0.999$1,398Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 02:57 PMWill Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?BUY YES0.999$3,096Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:47 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.999$63.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:18 AMWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?BUY NO0.983$4,837Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:46 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$1,007Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:27 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$9,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:26 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$9,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:26 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$9,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:23 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$7,873Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:22 AMTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?BUY YES0.999$2,443Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:21 AMWill Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?BUY YES0.999$4,367Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:00 PMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$5,982Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:55 PMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:32 PMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$1,787Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 09:02 PMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.999$73.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:56 PMWill Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?BUY NO0.999$1,094Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:11 PMWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?BUY NO0.983$14.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:01 PMIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?BUY NO0.999$10.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:11 PMWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?BUY NO0.975$6,052Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:07 PMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$4,435Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:51 PMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.998$19.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:50 PMWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?BUY NO0.980$2,738Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 04:22 PMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?BUY NO0.999$2,797Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:46 PM0xdff611d9BUY NO0.999$3,503Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:27 PMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY NO0.998$48.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:26 PMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?BUY NO0.999$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 11:46 AMUnited x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?BUY NO0.999$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 08:14 AMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?BUY NO0.970$3,886Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 08:00 AMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?BUY NO0.963$4,556Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:57 PMIran successfully targets shipping on June 26?BUY NO0.999$1,595Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:08 PMWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$4,182Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:06 PMWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$1,989Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:06 PMWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$16.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 10:45 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.934$1,036Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 10:08 AMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY NO0.846$3,547Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 09:50 AM0xff78bad3SELL YES0.999$1,500— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:34 AM0xff78bad3SELL YES0.999$5,250— (SELL)
Jun 28, 09:47 AM0xff78bad3BUY YES0.999$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:37 AM0xff78bad3BUY YES0.999$7,131Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:32 AM0xff78bad3BUY YES0.999$32.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:12 AM0xff78bad3BUY YES0.996$4,978Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 08:18 AM0xff78bad3BUY YES0.998$9,590Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 04:50 AMIran successfully targets shipping on June 27?BUY YES0.999$8,697Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:55 AMWill GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026BUY YES0.999$21.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:53 AMWill 4 Anchors and Ilmeria Qualify to The International 2026BUY NO0.998$3,593Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:28 AMWill GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026BUY YES0.998$6,725Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:14 AMWill GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026BUY YES0.998$7,186Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:13 AMWill 4 Anchors and Ilmeria Qualify to The International 2026BUY NO0.998$9,983Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:12 AMWill GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026BUY YES0.998$9,983Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 02:00 AMCabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?BUY YES0.999$1,998Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 01:16 PMRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY YES0.980$1,120Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:29 AM0xff78bad3BUY YES0.955$1,318Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:33 AM0xff78bad3BUY YES0.992$1,046Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 12:29 AMWill the announcers say "Energy" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?BUY NO0.999$1,085Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:53 AMWill Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?BUY YES0.999$1,649Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:53 AMWill Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?BUY YES0.999$1,651Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:51 AMWill Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?BUY YES0.998$2,473Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:51 AMWill Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?BUY YES0.999$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 02:52 AMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.998$6,986Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 02:35 AMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.998$2,730Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 09:50 AMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY YES0.997$19.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:20 PMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?BUY YES0.999$10.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:57 PMWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$19.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:56 PMWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.998$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 01:21 PMWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$9,321Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:36 AMStarmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.999$73.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:35 AMStarmer out by June 26, 2026?BUY YES0.998$17.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:35 AMStarmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.998$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:35 AMStarmer out by August 31, 2026?BUY YES0.999$1,235Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:32 AMStarmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.996$7,755Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:32 AMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.994$2,226Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:32 AMStarmer out by June 26, 2026?BUY YES0.995$1,105Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:12 AMStarmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.989$4,760Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:12 AMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.990$4,099Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:12 AMStarmer out by June 26, 2026?BUY YES0.990$1,556Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:12 AMStarmer out by June 24, 2026?BUY YES0.990$1,401Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:12 AMStarmer out by June 23, 2026?BUY YES0.987$4,495Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 10:31 PMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY YES0.990$24.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:28 PMWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?BUY NO0.999$9,547Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:28 PMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?BUY YES0.994$1,817Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:28 PMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?BUY YES0.991$1,669Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:25 PMWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?BUY NO0.999$8,211Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:19 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.999$1,199Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:19 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.999$18.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:19 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY NO0.999$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:17 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY YES0.999$40.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:13 PMWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?BUY NO0.999$1,019Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:13 PMWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?BUY YES0.999$1,210Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:47 PMWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?BUY NO0.969$1,322Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:42 PMWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?BUY NO0.988$11.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:46 AMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?BUY YES0.998$1,205Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:16 AMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?BUY YES0.990$3,033Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:09 AMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?BUY YES0.917$1,054Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:12 PMWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?BUY NO0.780$7,827Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:45 PMWill Trump announce Mike Waltz as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$3,645Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:45 PMWill Trump announce Kash Patel as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$3,106Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:45 PMWill Trump announce Tom Cotton as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$5,875Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:45 PMWill Trump announce Stephen Miller as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$1,848Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:45 PMWill Trump announce John Ratcliffe as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$3,197Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:45 PMWill Trump announce Sebastian Gorka as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$3,796Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:44 PMWill Trump announce Mike Flynn as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$4,096Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:44 PMWill Trump announce Elise Stefanik as the next Director of National Intelligence?BUY NO0.999$3,046Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

112 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Other14$226.2K+$226.2K
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Other8$170.9K+$165.6K
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Other4$96.4K+$96.4K
0xff78bad39$75.7K+$62.2K
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Politics14$58.6K+$58.6K
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics1$48.0K+$48.0K
Will GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026Other4$45.3K+$45.3K
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics2$43.4K+$43.4K
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