ipop00

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8fbb…9a17 with our methodology badges per row.

0x8fbb3c32496d4bcff8f456c3342f90edaaa09a17·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

108

lifetime

PnL per $

-9%

historical realized

Win rate

65.8%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$1.77M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 108 resolved trades · -9% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

121

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.86M

avg $15.4K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$1.69M / $170.4K

net direction

Recent trades

last 121 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 07:00 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.550	$11.6K	—
Jul 19, 05:37 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.540	$4,757	—
Jul 18, 09:27 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.170	$1,065	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:45 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.570	$58.3K	—
Jul 15, 06:58 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.655	$13.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 05:00 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.378	$7,793	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 12:22 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.568	$18.9K	—
Jul 11, 11:57 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.573	$1,208	—
Jul 11, 10:04 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.480	$24.6K	—
Jul 11, 10:02 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.480	$2,829	—
Jul 11, 08:25 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.223	$4,450	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 10, 06:58 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.593	$3,237	—
Jul 10, 01:46 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.603	$10.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:05 PM	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.650	$3,866	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:05 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.420	$12.8K	—
Jul 6, 07:23 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.240	$3,064	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 09:05 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.180	$5,536	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 09:03 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.810	$8,146	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:53 PM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.950	$9,499	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:54 AM	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.830	$18.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:03 AM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.540	$56.3K	—
Jul 3, 11:47 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.350	$1,800	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 11:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.660	$17.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:22 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.650	$4,449	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:22 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.660	$23.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:21 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.660	$15.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:21 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.640	$5,609	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:05 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.860	$13.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:02 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.860	$12.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:00 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.860	$6,056	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 05:56 PM	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.350	$17.8K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 10:56 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.838	$25.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 10:48 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.838	$25.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 03:42 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.850	$35.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:16 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.752	$5,462	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 11:34 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.748	$1,928	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:05 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.720	$3,386	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:03 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.720	$51.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:51 PM	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.720	$8,011	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 05:53 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.220	$2,252	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 05:06 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.550	$10.6K	—
Jun 29, 05:00 PM	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.730	$12.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:38 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.550	$6,195	—
Jun 29, 03:10 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.190	$1,082	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:56 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.520	$10.6K	—
Jun 28, 06:49 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.520	$5,778	—
Jun 28, 11:25 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.730	$4,843	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:31 PM	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$4,307	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:26 PM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.830	$8,342	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:50 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.520	$10.6K	—
Jun 27, 07:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.860	$16.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:39 AM	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.850	$13.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:39 AM	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.850	$17.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 12:00 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.570	$4,376	—
Jun 26, 09:12 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.850	$33.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 09:10 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.590	$11.3K	—
Jun 26, 06:35 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.710	$40.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 05:07 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.130	$3,917	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 10:53 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.301	$2,049	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 10:53 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.301	$6,149	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 05:25 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.619	$1,156	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:04 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.270	$2,760	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 07:19 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$1,251	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 07:00 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.320	$7,259	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 06:58 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.710	$3,183	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 06:57 PM	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.330	$4,153	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 06:54 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.750	$17.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 05:39 PM	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.910	$18.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 12:58 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.830	$30.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 12:54 PM	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.760	$1,543	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 10:32 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.680	$20.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 08:11 PM	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.150	$3,079	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 07:59 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$29.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:15 PM	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.880	$3,795	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 04:59 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.860	$77.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 08:40 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.850	$12.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 08:40 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.850	$103.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 06:20 AM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.820	$13.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 07:14 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	SELL YES	0.999	$22.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 22, 07:02 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	SELL YES	0.999	$20.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 22, 05:10 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$3,759	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:04 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY NO	0.310	$1,758	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 05:01 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY NO	0.330	$4,024	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 04:29 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	BUY NO	0.890	$15.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:05 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	BUY NO	0.890	$89.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:49 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.790	$2,587	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:49 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.790	$27.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:49 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.790	$24.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:49 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.790	$4,861	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:31 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.820	$11.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:29 AM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.440	$7,105	—
Jun 21, 07:00 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.690	$3,869	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:46 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.640	$21.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 03:54 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.040	$2,285	—
Jun 21, 02:48 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.963	$1,580	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:02 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,945	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:02 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.680	$9,339	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:02 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.680	$7,976	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 11:55 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.890	$43.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:03 AM	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.230	$5,824	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 04:02 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.890	$26.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:00 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.340	$17.7K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:05 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.600	$9,372	—
Jun 20, 09:05 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.600	$23.3K	—
Jun 20, 08:53 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.580	$19.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:51 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.410	$2,514	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:50 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.410	$2,508	—
Jun 20, 08:00 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.860	$15.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:47 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.999	$24.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:46 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:46 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.999	$33.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:46 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$38.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:45 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$38.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:44 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.999	$33.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 05:37 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.860	$77.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:06 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.470	$4,090	—
Jun 12, 07:02 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.480	$4,876	—
Jun 12, 06:56 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.200	$2,049	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 12, 06:55 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.200	$6,148	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 12, 06:54 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.200	$4,554	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 12, 12:22 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.540	$3,000	—

Markets active in

65 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Other	4	$205.5K	+$205.5K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Other	7	$149.7K	+$75.1K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Other	10	$135.4K	+$135.4K
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Other	2	$105.2K	+$105.2K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Crypto	3	$91.0K	$-90,981
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	3	$86.9K	+$86.9K
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Other	6	$73.3K	$-11,041
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	2	$59.3K	+$59.3K
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Other	4	$58.9K	+$58.9K
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Other	1	$56.3K	+$56.3K
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Other	2	$54.9K	+$54.9K
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Other	2	$50.4K	+$50.4K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Tech	1	$43.3K	+$43.3K
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Other	2	$43.0K	+$43.0K
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Other	1	$40.2K	+$40.2K
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Other	1	$33.0K	+$33.0K
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Other	1	$30.9K	+$30.9K
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Other	2	$30.9K	+$30.9K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Other	2	$27.5K	+$27.5K
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Other	1	$26.6K	+$26.6K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Other	4	$25.1K	+$25.1K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Other	1	$20.4K	+$20.4K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Other	2	$20.2K	+$20.2K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Other	2	$20.1K	+$20.1K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Other	3	$19.0K	+$19.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Other	1	$18.6K	+$18.6K
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Other	1	$18.2K	+$18.2K
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Other	1	$17.8K	+$17.8K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Other	1	$17.7K	+$17.7K
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Other	1	$16.6K	+$16.6K

Showing top 30 by volume.