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cocos228
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8e5c…a68a with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
-66%
historical realized
Win rate
29.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$47.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · -66% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
9
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$63.0K
avg $6,996 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$29.6K / $33.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 9 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 02:06 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $3,022 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 09:27 PM | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.970 | $1,032 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:09 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $5,624 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:08 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $6,056 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:06 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $10.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:05 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $18.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 11:54 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.694 | $5,400 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 06:50 AM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $5,423 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:07 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $8,075 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Other | 3 | $32.3K | $-32,299 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 2 | $15.6K | +$15.6K |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Other | 3 | $14.1K | +$14.1K |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | Other | 1 | $1,032 | $-1,032 |