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happybiatch
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8d80…7c7b with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
72.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$66.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
8
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$70.0K
avg $8,747 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$50.3K / $19.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 8 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 12:05 AM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $16.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 01:48 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $10,000 | — |
| Jul 6, 03:36 AM | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY YES | 0.569 | $1,200 | — |
| Jun 30, 03:02 AM | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,190 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 05:24 PM | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | SELL YES | 0.170 | $1,039 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 12:19 AM | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY YES | 0.180 | $1,100 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 29, 12:19 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.942 | $1,130 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 09:00 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.916 | $38.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $39.1K | +$36.9K |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $26.3K | $-6,316 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Other | 2 | $2,139 | +$61 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Other | 1 | $1,200 | +$1,200 |
| Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Crypto | 1 | $1,190 | $-1,190 |