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SecondWindCapital
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8c80…02c3 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
-63%
historical realized
Win rate
22.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$840.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 12 resolved trades · -63% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
55
Distinct markets
16
Volume (90d)
$2.52M
avg $45.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.41M / $1.11M
net direction
Recent trades
last 55 · 90d windowMarkets active in
16 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Other | 14 | $868.9K | +$45.2K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 10 | $810.5K | $-428,961 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | 2 | $335.6K | +$335.6K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Other | 3 | $120.9K | +$120.9K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 11 | $120.4K | +$120.4K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | 2 | $78.2K | $-78,159 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | 1 | $76.8K | +$76.8K |
| 0xf8734a88 | — | 1 | $48.8K | +$48.8K |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO? | Other | 1 | $28.0K | +$28.0K |
| 0x24b24e24 | — | 3 | $8,084 | +$8,084 |
| 0x4b003509 | — | 1 | $7,446 | +$7,446 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Tech | 1 | $6,729 | +$6,729 |
| 0x44282246 | — | 1 | $2,933 | +$2,933 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | 1 | $2,882 | +$2,882 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | 2 | $2,256 | +$2,256 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Other | 1 | $1,442 | +$1,442 |