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Daemon99

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8c40…80df with our methodology badges per row.

0x8c406c3275517b345e9481c49125e9a6629780df·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
+24%
historical realized
Win rate
65.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$113.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
18
Distinct markets
12
Volume (90d)
$115.0K
avg $6,392 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$115.0K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 18 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 08:32 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.740$15.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:30 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.720$13.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:19 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY NO0.610$6,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:12 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY NO0.590$4,436
Jul 7, 04:29 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY NO0.529$7,349
Jul 4, 05:08 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY NO0.510$6,273
Jun 30, 08:51 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY NO0.240$3,326Conviction tier
Jun 29, 08:29 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY NO0.270$6,677Conviction tier
Jun 26, 11:24 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.650$18.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:20 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.360$5,616Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 04:12 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.370$6,415Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 05:13 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.350$5,250Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 05:06 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.284$1,692Conviction tier
Jun 21, 07:17 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.300$1,350Conviction tier
Jun 21, 07:08 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.310$3,100Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 07:07 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.310$4,495Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:35 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.460$2,000
Jun 20, 08:07 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.380$3,040Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

12 markets · sorted by volume