tennischamp

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8bfe…2d74 with our methodology badges per row.

0x8bfee7aeca33003fe9d7398d5143dc7866542d74·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-34%

historical realized

Win rate

42.7%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$960.0K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 97 resolved trades · -34% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

121

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.27M

avg $10.5K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$802.7K / $470.4K

net direction

Recent trades

last 121 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 09:19 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.998	$52.2K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:17 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.315	$1,503	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:16 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.318	$1,537	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:14 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.315	$3,049	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.453	$13.8K	—
Jul 19, 07:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.455	$6,733	—
Jul 19, 07:11 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.460	$6,059	—
Jul 19, 07:11 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.458	$5,076	—
Jul 19, 04:24 PM	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,893	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 01:59 PM	Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY YES	0.545	$2,027	—
Jul 19, 01:57 PM	Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.979	$1,180	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:57 PM	Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.978	$2,268	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:56 PM	Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY YES	0.540	$1,274	—
Jul 19, 02:19 AM	Fight to Go the Distance?	BUY NO	0.520	$2,598	—
Jul 19, 01:43 AM	Fight to Go the Distance?	BUY NO	0.520	$1,087	—
Jul 19, 12:39 AM	Fight to Go the Distance?	SELL NO	0.990	$5,902	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:02 PM	Fight to Go the Distance?	SELL NO	0.990	$8,901	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:51 PM	Fight to Go the Distance?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,721	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:45 PM	Fight to Go the Distance?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,739	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 05:52 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.240	$1,866	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 05:51 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.530	$4,122	—
Jul 18, 04:58 PM	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	BUY NO	0.779	$4,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 11:43 AM	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	BUY NO	0.726	$1,546	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 12:11 AM	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	BUY NO	0.579	$4,892	—
Jul 14, 05:57 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.323	$1,791	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 05:54 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.378	$2,097	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:20 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.500	$5,000	—
Jul 6, 06:20 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.240	$2,400	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 10:00 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.380	$3,800	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:00 PM	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.310	$3,100	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 09:58 PM	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.320	$3,200	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 09:58 PM	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.320	$3,200	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 11:05 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.999	$6,659	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 07:30 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.830	$5,533	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 07:18 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.999	$7,769	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 04:35 PM	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.300	$2,333	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 04:35 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.540	$4,200	—
Jul 4, 01:24 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.680	$56.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:32 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.950	$8,115	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:32 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.950	$6,706	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:29 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.950	$9,499	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:28 PM	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$1,711	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 3, 10:28 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.690	$5,366	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:02 PM	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.999	$7,769	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 04:00 PM	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.340	$2,644	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 04:00 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.410	$3,189	—
Jul 2, 04:37 PM	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.170	$1,322	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 04:37 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.765	$6,799	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 04:37 PM	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.170	$1,190	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 04:36 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.765	$6,120	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 10:40 PM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.720	$75.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:49 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.510	$1,020	—
Jul 1, 07:48 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.510	$1,617	—
Jun 30, 10:34 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	SELL YES	0.999	$31.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 10:02 PM	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.120	$7,320	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 08:42 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.770	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 07:05 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	SELL YES	0.999	$8,757	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 05:04 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.300	$2,580	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 05:04 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.470	$4,120	—
Jun 28, 01:38 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.590	$1,770	—
Jun 28, 01:36 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.590	$1,315	—
Jun 28, 01:57 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.860	$14.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 06:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.860	$9,830	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 03:13 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.860	$6,154	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 02:51 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.830	$7,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 09:31 PM	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.260	$4,524	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 09:30 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.610	$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 01:50 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.460	$3,300	—
Jun 24, 11:56 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.999	$44.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 09:27 PM	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.150	$5,331	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 09:27 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.780	$34.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 08:59 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.999	$16.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 08:24 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.950	$7,235	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 08:24 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.950	$8,295	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 01:02 AM	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.240	$2,880	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 01:01 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.640	$7,680	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 12:54 AM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.999	$20.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 09:33 PM	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.210	$4,200	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 23, 09:32 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.680	$13.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 09:07 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.670	$7,055	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 07:36 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$8,846	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:13 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.999	$33.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 03:38 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.860	$6,720	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 03:37 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.860	$22.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 07:31 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.910	$20.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 07:18 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	SELL YES	0.999	$20.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 22, 02:10 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$4,400	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 02:10 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.680	$13.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:54 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,662	— (SELL)
Jun 22, 12:37 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.240	$2,400	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 12:36 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.600	$6,000	—
Jun 22, 12:09 AM	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.999	$44.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:48 PM	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	SELL YES	0.999	$9,029	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:26 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.460	$3,577	—
Jun 21, 10:26 PM	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.300	$2,333	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 10:25 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.460	$3,577	—
Jun 21, 09:17 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.710	$21.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 09:16 PM	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$6,355	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 09:07 PM	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.999	$29.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 07:22 PM	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.210	$2,100	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 07:22 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.700	$7,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 07:17 PM	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.210	$2,100	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 07:17 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.700	$3,634	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:02 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.700	$7,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:02 PM	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.200	$2,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Fight to Go the Distance?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,097	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:04 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.999	$70.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:38 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$47.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:38 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.200	$14.0K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 13, 04:16 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	BUY YES	0.820	$18.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 04:04 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	BUY YES	0.820	$7,469	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 10:12 PM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.470	$1,972	—
Jun 12, 10:11 PM	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.300	$1,300	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 12, 10:07 PM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.470	$1,208	—
Jun 11, 09:03 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.999	$14.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 06:37 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.690	$9,909	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:42 PM	0xb99047b9	SELL YES	0.950	$10.6K	— (SELL)
May 19, 08:07 PM	0xb99047b9	SELL YES	0.690	$14.6K	— (SELL)
May 19, 07:12 PM	0xb99047b9	BUY YES	0.430	$2,389	—
May 19, 07:12 PM	0xb99047b9	BUY YES	0.430	$43.0K	—
May 18, 06:16 PM	0x95819f16	BUY YES	0.890	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

69 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	2	$117.6K	$-22,451
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Other	2	$81.7K	+$18.4K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Other	2	$79.1K	$-9,733
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Other	1	$75.8K	+$75.8K
0xb99047b9	—	4	$70.6K	+$20.1K
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Other	3	$62.6K	$-4,678
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Other	2	$62.2K	+$62.2K
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Tech	4	$58.3K	$-46,160
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Other	3	$53.1K	$-35,709
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Other	4	$35.9K	$-23,537
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Other	2	$33.6K	$-6,380
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Other	2	$33.6K	$-6,380
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Other	3	$31.9K	$-801
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Tech	4	$31.6K	+$31.6K
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Other	3	$28.4K	+$28.4K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Other	2	$26.3K	+$26.3K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Other	3	$24.3K	+$24.3K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Other	2	$24.3K	$-4,437
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Other	1	$20.2K	+$20.2K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Other	3	$17.6K	+$17.6K
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Other	2	$15.9K	+$1,790
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Other	1	$14.8K	+$14.8K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Other	2	$14.1K	+$14.1K
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Other	1	$14.0K	+$14.0K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Tech	2	$12.9K	+$12.9K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Other	2	$12.9K	$-4,637
Fight to Go the Distance?	Other	3	$12.4K	$-5,441
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Other	2	$12.2K	$-1,127
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Other	2	$12.0K	$-3,570
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Other	3	$11.2K	+$11.2K

Showing top 30 by volume.