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0x8b71010f8D18CccE16a37434778117EE2d6b8044-1735105889785
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8b71…8044 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
79.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$6,204
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
26
Distinct markets
14
Volume (90d)
$131.1K
avg $5,042 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$98.7K / $32.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 26 · 90d windowMarkets active in
14 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | 2 | $29.3K | $-29,250 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Tech | 3 | $18.6K | +$18.6K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Other | 6 | $18.4K | +$18.4K |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | 2 | $16.4K | +$16.4K |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Politics | 1 | $14.1K | +$14.1K |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | Politics | 3 | $9,593 | +$9,593 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $4,950 | +$4,950 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Other | 1 | $4,403 | +$4,403 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Politics | 2 | $4,174 | +$4,174 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 1 | $3,140 | $-3,140 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | 1 | $2,600 | +$2,600 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | Tech | 1 | $2,575 | +$2,575 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | Politics | 1 | $1,700 | +$1,700 |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Other | 1 | $1,358 | +$1,358 |