Back to whale feed

RJW1

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x85f0…3f67 with our methodology badges per row.

0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6bde3f67·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
52
lifetime
PnL per $
+50%
historical realized
Win rate
56.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$397.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
62
Distinct markets
40
Volume (90d)
$473.5K
avg $7,638 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$456.6K / $16.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 62 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 01:54 PMWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY YES0.290$14.1KConviction tier
Jul 18, 08:35 PMFrance leading at halftime?BUY YES0.440$18.3K
Jul 15, 09:13 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.579$28.5K
Jul 15, 07:59 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.333$22.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 05:42 PMEngland leading at halftime?BUY YES0.280$8,277Conviction tier
Jul 14, 09:23 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.572$27.1K
Jul 12, 04:39 PMEngland leading at halftime?BUY YES0.280$2,474Conviction tier
Jul 11, 11:06 AMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.420$9,438
Jul 9, 10:11 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.432$1,952
Jul 8, 07:53 PMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.110$2,930Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 8, 04:19 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.430$22.1K
Jul 7, 11:56 AMEgypt leading at halftime?BUY YES0.090$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 05:51 PMEgypt leading at halftime?BUY YES0.100$3,830Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:34 PMVinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.400$13.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 11:22 AMEngland to score first vs. Mexico?BUY YES0.480$2,714
Jul 4, 09:00 PMMichael Olise: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.080$1,196Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 08:59 PMMichael Olise: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.080$1,184Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 08:57 PMMichael Olise: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.080$1,714Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 08:44 PMFrance leading at halftime?BUY YES0.610$4,972Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:43 PMMichael Olise: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.340$1,721Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 08:37 PMMichael Olise: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.070$2,392Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 07:00 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?SELL YES0.660$5,624— (SELL)
Jul 3, 06:57 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?SELL YES0.660$11.3K— (SELL)
Jul 3, 06:56 PMWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY YES0.260$1,376Conviction tier
Jul 3, 05:33 PMEgypt leading at halftime?BUY YES0.310$1,232Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 05:31 PMEgypt leading at halftime?BUY YES0.310$9,289Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 10:59 AMFrance leading at halftime?BUY YES0.620$10.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:33 AMEgypt leading at halftime?BUY YES0.310$8,342Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 04:49 PMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$17.3KConviction tier
Jul 1, 07:43 PMSenegal leading at halftime?BUY YES0.200$6,000Conviction tier
Jul 1, 07:02 PMSenegal leading at halftime?BUY YES0.230$7,426Conviction tier
Jul 1, 06:07 PMSenegal to score first vs. Belgium?BUY YES0.390$1,770Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 02:55 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.510$19.5K
Jun 30, 11:07 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.550$18.1K
Jun 30, 09:46 AMFrance leading at halftime?BUY YES0.590$5,692
Jun 29, 04:58 PMBrazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?BUY YES0.450$6,873
Jun 29, 04:46 PMBrazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?BUY YES0.450$9,343
Jun 29, 03:48 PMBrazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?BUY YES0.430$1,116
Jun 29, 08:26 AMBrazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?BUY YES0.420$1,679
Jun 28, 05:21 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY NO0.460$1,583
Jun 28, 02:44 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.210$1,098Conviction tier
Jun 28, 12:48 PMCanada leading at halftime?BUY YES0.420$3,195
Jun 27, 08:52 PMCroatia leading at halftime?BUY YES0.380$9,998Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 08:50 PMCroatia to score first vs. Ghana?BUY YES0.590$2,491
Jun 26, 06:53 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.560$5,403
Jun 26, 06:31 PMFrance leading at halftime?BUY YES0.570$5,165
Jun 26, 03:13 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.520$6,409
Jun 26, 08:32 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.290$2,124Conviction tier
Jun 24, 09:14 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.480$3,917
Jun 24, 04:24 PMExact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?BUY YES0.160$8,726Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 03:54 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.520$6,442
Jun 23, 09:00 PMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.060$12.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 07:01 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.500$6,384
Jun 21, 05:21 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.250$6,150Conviction tier
Jun 20, 06:55 PMGermany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?BUY NO0.320$2,372Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 09:01 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.530$8,410
Jun 6, 10:27 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY NO0.510$17.3K
May 31, 07:58 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.170$1,121Killed band — neutral expectation
May 10, 01:49 PM0x74405cf9BUY YES0.240$6,375Conviction tier
May 9, 06:27 PM0x9df495a4BUY YES0.620$6,169Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 12:20 PM0x9df495a4BUY YES0.610$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 12:20 PM0x9df495a4BUY YES0.610$1,321Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

40 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech2$55.6K+$55.6K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Crypto2$25.7K+$25.7K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Other2$24.1K+$24.1K
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Other1$22.5K+$22.5K
0x9df495a43$21.1K+$21.1K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other1$19.5K+$19.5K
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?Other4$19.0K+$19.0K
Egypt leading at halftime?Other3$18.9K+$18.9K
France leading at halftime?Other1$18.3K+$18.3K
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Other1$18.1K+$18.1K
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Other1$17.3K+$17.3K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Other2$16.9K$-16,934
France leading at halftime?Other2$15.4K+$15.4K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports1$14.1K+$14.1K
Senegal leading at halftime?Other2$13.4K+$13.4K
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsOther1$13.0K+$13.0K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Other2$12.8K+$12.8K
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Other1$12.0K+$12.0K
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsOther2$11.8K+$11.8K
England leading at halftime?Other2$10.8K+$10.8K
Croatia leading at halftime?Other1$9,998+$9,998
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Other1$9,438+$9,438
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$9,372+$9,372
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?Other1$8,726+$8,726
Egypt leading at halftime?Other2$6,830+$6,830
Michael Olise: 2+ goalsOther4$6,487+$6,487
0x74405cf91$6,375+$6,375
France leading at halftime?Other1$5,692+$5,692
France leading at halftime?Other1$5,165+$5,165
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Other1$3,917+$3,917

Showing top 30 by volume.