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GGruter
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x837c…5771 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-21%
historical realized
Win rate
18.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$21.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -21% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
19
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$81.4K
avg $4,285 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$27.9K / $53.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 19 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:58 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.935 | $14.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 05:55 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.129 | $1,927 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 05:54 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.058 | $2,007 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 07:11 PM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.106 | $3,667 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 07:09 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.130 | $3,925 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 10:13 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.150 | $4,013 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 12, 09:28 PM | 0x67583c5c | SELL YES | 0.990 | $6,459 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 08:42 PM | 0x67583c5c | BUY YES | 0.613 | $4,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 08:07 PM | 0xc3842d94 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $10.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 05:48 PM | 0xc3842d94 | BUY YES | 0.680 | $7,335 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 05:47 PM | 0x4079ce57 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $7,239 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 05:23 PM | 0x4079ce57 | BUY YES | 0.663 | $5,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 04:08 PM | 0x92da4be4 | BUY YES | 0.504 | $2,000 | — |
| May 12, 09:07 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.150 | $1,521 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 01:14 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $2,252 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 10:50 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $1,501 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 09:18 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $1,060 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 12:25 PM | 0xb166d82d | SELL YES | 0.942 | $1,712 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 10:51 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.170 | $1,054 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
8 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc3842d94 | — | 2 | $18.1K | $-3,441 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 2 | $15.9K | $-12,038 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Other | 7 | $15.3K | $-7,301 |
| 0x4079ce57 | — | 2 | $12.2K | $-2,239 |
| 0x67583c5c | — | 2 | $10.5K | $-2,459 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $5,674 | +$1,661 |
| 0x92da4be4 | — | 1 | $2,000 | +$2,000 |
| 0xb166d82d | — | 1 | $1,712 | $-1,712 |