Back to whale feed
llh
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x8349…c99d with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-82%
historical realized
Win rate
18.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$115.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -82% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
7
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$60.5K
avg $8,639 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$60.5K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 7 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 07:41 PM | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $4,237 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 07:40 PM | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $9,818 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 07:38 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.962 | $4,462 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:51 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $3,514 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:51 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $7,197 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:51 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $10.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:42 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $20.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Other | 3 | $21.1K | +$21.1K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Other | 1 | $20.9K | +$20.9K |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Crypto | 1 | $9,818 | +$9,818 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Other | 1 | $4,462 | +$4,462 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Other | 1 | $4,237 | +$4,237 |