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lucio12z16

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x82ff…f0c4 with our methodology badges per row.

0x82ff82838d26347b7188c8e3ddc9fb6f8306f0c4·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
-14%
historical realized
Win rate
47.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$100.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 17 resolved trades · -14% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$100.2K
avg $5,894 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$49.0K / $51.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 01:18 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.930$10.2K— (SELL)
Jul 13, 07:20 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.570$6,270
Jul 12, 03:49 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.204$1,777— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:49 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.203$3,280— (SELL)
Jun 29, 11:09 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.195$1,621Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 02:46 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.206$1,236— (SELL)
Jun 27, 05:23 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.168$5,040Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 05:20 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.215$5,375— (SELL)
Jun 13, 02:25 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.200$5,996Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 02:24 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.198$4,080Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 02:41 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.162$16.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 6, 01:59 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.403$16.4K— (SELL)
May 21, 03:15 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.325$2,390Killed band — neutral expectation
May 21, 03:15 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.316$2,891Killed band — neutral expectation
May 18, 08:34 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.241$1,407Cheap band — no rep
May 18, 08:34 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.240$3,065Cheap band — no rep
May 13, 01:58 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.607$12.9K— (SELL)

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume