nojnn

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x7f9e…3a0e with our methodology badges per row.

0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

272

lifetime

PnL per $

-50%

historical realized

Win rate

37.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$1.08M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 272 resolved trades · -50% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$578.0K

avg $2,890 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$232.1K / $345.9K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 13, 01:39 PM	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	BUY YES	0.860	$1,118	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:39 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	SELL NO	0.990	$2,564	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:31 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	SELL NO	0.992	$1,509	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 04:02 AM	Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?	BUY NO	0.670	$2,108	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 04:00 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 12?	SELL NO	0.998	$2,384	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 05:30 PM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?	SELL NO	0.976	$2,969	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 01:36 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 12?	SELL NO	0.990	$1,604	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 09:54 AM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.772	$1,193	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:53 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.812	$1,625	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 09:49 AM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,672	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 09:44 AM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.939	$3,046	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:08 AM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	SELL NO	0.984	$1,968	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 11:26 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 11?	SELL NO	0.997	$1,215	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:33 PM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,274	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 09:33 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 11?	SELL NO	0.987	$3,082	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:39 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.839	$1,518	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:38 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.822	$1,644	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:21 PM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.750	$2,225	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:20 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$3,280	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:15 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$1,640	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 06:37 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 11?	SELL NO	0.991	$1,982	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 06:02 PM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,687	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:01 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 06:00 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.770	$1,128	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 05:59 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 11?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,970	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:47 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.800	$1,565	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 05:46 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$1,640	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:22 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.680	$1,383	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:21 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.668	$2,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:21 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.792	$3,269	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:21 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.665	$1,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:20 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.724	$5,883	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:17 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BUY NO	0.775	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:16 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.750	$4,500	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 11:08 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,568	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 11:07 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.840	$3,339	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 11:04 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.830	$3,357	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 11:01 AM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	BUY NO	0.899	$1,838	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 05:12 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.760	$1,520	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:11 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.766	$1,149	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:10 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.770	$6,300	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:09 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.170	$2,502	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 05:09 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.169	$4,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 05:09 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.770	$7,700	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:07 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.773	$7,730	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:04 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.790	$2,190	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:00 AM	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.010	$1,000	—
Jun 11, 04:59 AM	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	SELL YES	0.816	$1,349	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:28 AM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SELL NO	0.810	$1,162	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:25 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.780	$1,560	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:08 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.776	$1,552	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 01:01 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,287	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:00 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.779	$1,558	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 11:51 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.712	$1,940	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 11:42 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.772	$3,087	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 11:25 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.794	$1,588	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 11:06 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.760	$2,280	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:45 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.790	$1,580	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:34 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,600	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:24 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,600	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:18 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,600	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:13 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,600	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 08:25 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$2,430	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 08:20 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.740	$1,546	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:17 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$4,050	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 08:15 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.740	$1,870	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:14 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 04:22 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 03:16 PM	Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?	BUY NO	0.928	$2,460	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:16 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:30 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 02:53 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.840	$2,593	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 02:50 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	SELL NO	0.997	$3,566	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 02:47 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,648	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 02:47 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	SELL NO	0.997	$2,991	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 02:13 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.830	$3,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 02:11 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 12?	BUY NO	0.909	$1,077	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 02:10 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	SELL NO	0.994	$4,970	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 01:30 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	SELL NO	0.986	$1,574	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 08:23 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$1,620	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 07:15 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,600	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:49 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,600	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:00 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$1,620	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 03:37 AM	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	BUY YES	0.847	$1,664	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 06:04 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.870	$1,796	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 06:04 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	SELL NO	0.991	$1,795	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 05:41 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.798	$1,786	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 05:40 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	SELL NO	0.992	$1,786	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 04:21 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,221	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 04:20 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:46 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.750	$1,226	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 03:45 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.740	$1,772	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 03:45 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$4,100	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:13 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.860	$2,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 03:12 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$3,280	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 02:27 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	BUY NO	0.920	$4,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 02:27 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$4,100	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 01:48 PM	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.889	$1,218	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 01:42 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.800	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 01:41 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 01:33 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.790	$1,369	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 01:32 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$3,280	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 01:12 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.830	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 01:11 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$3,914	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 12:55 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.789	$2,549	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:55 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$5,737	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 12:38 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$4,100	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 12:29 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.779	$1,499	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:22 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BUY NO	0.840	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:22 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BUY NO	0.750	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:21 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.821	$8,210	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 12:12 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.700	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 12:11 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.824	$8,241	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 04:09 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$8,100	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:42 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$1,620	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:40 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$1,620	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 02:33 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	SELL NO	0.351	$1,052	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 03:15 AM	Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	BUY NO	0.620	$1,660	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 03:14 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.830	$1,660	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 01:47 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$1,640	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 11:48 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.760	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 11:47 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 08:27 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.868	$1,341	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 11:40 PM	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	BUY NO	0.901	$1,383	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 11:40 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.837	$1,035	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 11:40 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.797	$1,271	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 11:40 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.910	$4,296	— (SELL)
May 25, 10:43 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	BUY YES	0.846	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:43 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	BUY YES	0.879	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:42 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	BUY YES	0.919	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:42 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.949	$13.5K	— (SELL)
May 25, 02:33 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.920	$2,108	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:32 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.920	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:31 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.999	$5,343	— (SELL)
May 25, 02:31 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	BUY YES	0.900	$1,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:47 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.860	$1,019	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:47 AM	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.955	$1,019	— (SELL)
May 24, 02:04 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	SELL YES	0.996	$3,338	— (SELL)
May 23, 02:08 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	BUY YES	0.941	$2,964	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 01:59 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.760	$2,488	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 01:57 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.700	$7,000	— (SELL)
May 22, 09:36 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	BUY YES	0.810	$1,690	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 01:58 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.860	$1,026	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 01:58 AM	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	SELL NO	0.950	$1,028	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:44 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	BUY NO	0.690	$3,387	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:44 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.480	$1,631	—
May 20, 06:43 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	SELL NO	0.900	$6,649	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:42 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.470	$1,825	—
May 20, 06:42 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	SELL NO	0.901	$2,704	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:23 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	BUY NO	0.810	$4,948	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:22 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	BUY NO	0.690	$3,673	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:22 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	SELL NO	0.910	$9,099	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:22 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	BUY NO	0.800	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:21 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	SELL NO	0.910	$1,820	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:17 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	BUY NO	0.800	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:15 PM	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	BUY NO	0.680	$1,514	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:14 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.530	$3,354	—
May 20, 06:14 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.460	$1,514	—
May 20, 06:12 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.950	$14.6K	— (SELL)
May 1, 03:00 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.700	$4,980	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 02:17 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.820	$4,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 02:10 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 02:09 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.828	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 02:08 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 02:03 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.833	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 02:02 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$5,340	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 02:00 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.850	$4,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:58 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:57 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.845	$4,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:57 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:57 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.823	$4,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:56 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:56 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.823	$4,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:55 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:55 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.819	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:52 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:51 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.820	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:51 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$5,340	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:50 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.820	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:50 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	SELL NO	0.890	$4,450	— (SELL)
Apr 29, 01:42 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 01:42 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	SELL NO	0.979	$2,048	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 03:54 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.662	$3,197	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 03:53 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.650	$3,965	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 03:53 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL NO	0.790	$7,162	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 12:17 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 12:17 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,970	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 12:14 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 12:14 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,970	— (SELL)
Apr 27, 12:12 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,866	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 12:08 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.985	$1,970	— (SELL)
Apr 26, 11:38 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,644	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 11:34 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.986	$1,972	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 10:20 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.666	$1,915	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 10:20 PM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	SELL NO	0.958	$1,915	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 08:08 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.670	$5,201	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 08:08 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.977	$3,251	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 08:07 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	SELL NO	0.977	$1,954	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 08:06 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.670	$3,638	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 08:05 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	SELL NO	0.974	$3,642	— (SELL)

Markets active in

51 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Other	59	$188.5K	$-142,713
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Other	12	$50.2K	$-42,340
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Other	11	$47.2K	+$47.2K
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Tech	17	$36.2K	+$36.2K
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Tech	14	$21.4K	+$19.3K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Other	4	$20.3K	$-20,273
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	Tech	5	$17.2K	$-9,001
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Other	1	$14.6K	$-14,557
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	1	$13.5K	$-13,547
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Tech	3	$11.4K	+$11.4K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Other	5	$9,797	$-9,797
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Other	3	$8,857	$-1,829
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Tech	3	$8,574	+$8,574
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?	Tech	4	$8,250	$-8,250
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Other	1	$7,162	$-7,162
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Tech	4	$6,970	+$6,970
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	2	$6,502	+$6,502
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Other	2	$6,302	$-374
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	Tech	3	$5,640	$-2,504
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Other	2	$5,205	$-5,205
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Other	3	$5,127	+$5,127
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?	Tech	3	$5,065	$-2,911
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Tech	2	$4,733	+$4,733
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Tech	2	$4,695	+$4,695
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Other	1	$4,296	$-4,296
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Politics	3	$4,131	+$1,434
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	Tech	2	$3,806	$-130
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Other	2	$3,700	+$3,700
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Other	1	$3,642	$-3,642
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	Tech	2	$3,581	$-3,581

Showing top 30 by volume.