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Ardillabtc
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x7c9f…739d with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-37%
historical realized
Win rate
37.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$85.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -37% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
3
Distinct markets
1
Volume (90d)
$85.0K
avg $28.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$31.5K / $53.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 3 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 12:27 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $53.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 11:40 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.591 | $28.6K | — |
| Jul 19, 11:34 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.591 | $2,955 | — |
Markets active in
1 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 3 | $85.0K | $-21,967 |