| Jul 20, 03:45 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.620 | $1,043 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 01:35 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.770 | $9,446 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 03:40 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $2,649 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 12:00 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $1,950 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 12:00 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $1,950 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 12:00 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $1,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:31 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.979 | $4,894 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:03 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $2,672 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 11:02 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $6,688 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 10:52 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $9,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 10:45 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $1,820 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 10:02 PM | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 03:31 AM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? | BUY NO | 0.645 | $1,682 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 05:34 AM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | SELL YES | 0.970 | $2,461 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 09:24 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,622 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:59 PM | Over $75M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,247 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:58 PM | Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:58 PM | Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,107 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:57 PM | Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,107 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:56 PM | Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $2,525 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:56 PM | Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,107 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:55 PM | Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,105 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 04:47 PM | Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $4,476 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 02:19 AM | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16? | BUY YES | 0.970 | $1,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 05:20 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.959 | $3,538 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 05:20 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.945 | $1,842 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 12:48 AM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY NO | 0.345 | $1,726 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 10:55 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $7,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 09:09 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $6,144 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 06:33 PM | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.349 | $2,248 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 10:18 PM | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY NO | 0.626 | $1,879 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 09:24 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $3,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 09:23 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $4,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:44 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.796 | $17.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 06:46 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $1,888 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 13, 02:51 PM | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $1,121 | —— |
| Jul 12, 11:22 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $2,318 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 03:50 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $4,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 10:23 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15? | BUY YES | 0.871 | $1,392 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 09:35 PM | Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $1,986 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 03:22 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $6,221 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 06:19 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.245 | $1,223 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 06:18 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.246 | $1,229 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 03:33 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.170 | $1,090 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 04:03 PM | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.796 | $1,062 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 5, 07:18 PM | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | BUY NO | 0.590 | $1,180 | —— |
| Jul 5, 07:10 PM | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | SELL NO | 0.544 | $2,239 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 5, 04:44 PM | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | BUY NO | 0.599 | $2,427 | —— |
| Jul 3, 04:52 PM | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.379 | $4,862 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 1, 09:06 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $199.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:05 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $22.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:04 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $22.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:03 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $4,878 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 09:03 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $23.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 03:53 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY YES | 0.320 | $1,678 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 30, 09:10 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.684 | $1,532 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 08:51 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY NO | 0.834 | $3,850 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 07:43 PM | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $1,972 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 12:22 AM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $49.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 05:57 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.685 | $1,370 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 04:59 PM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $39.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 02:39 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.596 | $1,132 | —— |
| Jun 28, 10:04 PM | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $5,984 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 08:30 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $1,955 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 04:38 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.793 | $2,379 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 04:38 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.909 | $6,334 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 04:38 PM | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,432 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 04:37 PM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.982 | $2,945 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 02:47 PM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.979 | $4,678 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 12:40 PM | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | BUY YES | 0.932 | $4,668 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 11:14 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $1,040 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 10:11 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,314 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 10:11 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 09:46 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,644 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 09:46 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $4,370 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 09:46 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $2,288 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 09:46 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? | BUY YES | 0.986 | $1,229 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 09:46 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $1,363 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 09:46 PM | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,874 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 02:22 PM | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.957 | $3,791 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 02:19 PM | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.937 | $5,658 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 01:17 PM | 0xff78bad3 | BUY YES | 0.987 | $20.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 11:36 PM | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $6,967 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 01:42 PM | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,445 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 01:02 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.659 | $1,464 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 01:02 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $1,920 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 01:01 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.639 | $3,194 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 12:58 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $1,755 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 12:58 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.388 | $1,500 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 26, 11:22 AM | 0xff78bad3 | BUY YES | 0.957 | $1,915 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 11:21 AM | 0xff78bad3 | BUY YES | 0.955 | $2,865 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 02:34 AM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $22.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 02:20 AM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $22.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 03:08 PM | Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,003 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 03:21 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,534 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:55 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.799 | $2,761 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:55 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $5,147 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:55 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | BUY NO | 0.877 | $2,922 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:34 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.558 | $5,584 | —— |
| Jun 13, 02:34 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.220 | $1,100 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 13, 02:26 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | BUY NO | 0.650 | $1,950 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:26 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | BUY YES | 0.653 | $1,161 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 02:26 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.834 | $8,345 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 01:57 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.157 | $1,920 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 13, 01:37 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | SELL NO | 0.530 | $1,060 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 01:36 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | SELL NO | 0.540 | $2,024 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:25 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL NO | 0.540 | $1,080 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:43 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:38 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $1,398 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:34 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,448 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 06:08 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | BUY NO | 0.191 | $1,444 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 05:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.837 | $4,187 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.862 | $6,701 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:56 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.596 | $2,982 | —— |
| Jun 12, 04:18 PM | 0x876047c0 | BUY NO | 0.897 | $4,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:13 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.132 | $3,685 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 04:13 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.382 | $5,056 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 03:13 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $1,620 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:10 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $4,448 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:10 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | BUY YES | 0.886 | $8,857 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:06 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.851 | $4,254 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:02 PM | 0x876047c0 | BUY NO | 0.891 | $1,157 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 02:53 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.320 | $1,067 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 02:53 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.601 | $3,633 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:42 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.640 | $2,340 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:16 PM | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.961 | $1,067 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 12:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,868 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:14 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.260 | $1,300 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 04:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.632 | $3,159 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:12 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.609 | $3,043 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:04 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.245 | $1,227 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 02:34 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.606 | $1,030 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:08 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | BUY YES | 0.645 | $1,289 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:08 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | BUY YES | 0.624 | $1,248 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:06 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.775 | $1,550 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:03 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $2,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:02 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.740 | $3,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:02 AM | 0x876047c0 | BUY NO | 0.829 | $1,658 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:34 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.260 | $1,300 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:08 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $4,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:01 PM | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.118 | $1,111 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 07:48 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL YES | 0.240 | $1,067 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 07:26 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.879 | $4,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:02 PM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | SELL NO | 0.960 | $1,022 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 06:01 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.884 | $2,946 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:48 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL YES | 0.346 | $1,152 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:33 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.897 | $4,485 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.859 | $1,718 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:30 PM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $3,084 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:30 PM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | BUY NO | 0.961 | $1,022 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:30 PM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.737 | $1,116 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:30 PM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.641 | $1,488 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:29 PM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.783 | $1,997 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.120 | $1,199 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:29 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.253 | $1,264 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 05:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.330 | $2,974 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:29 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.220 | $1,364 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 02:34 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.741 | $3,706 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 12:54 AM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.959 | $2,892 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 11:36 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.947 | $1,137 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:24 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $3,154 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:45 PM | President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $1,297 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 08:50 PM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.656 | $1,313 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 07:08 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $4,577 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 06:22 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.861 | $2,583 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 06:10 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.897 | $2,834 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 06:04 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $1,720 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 06:04 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $1,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:57 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.763 | $1,526 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:55 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:53 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.779 | $1,558 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:52 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $1,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:50 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.651 | $1,341 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:13 AM | Israel closes its airspace by June 10? | BUY NO | 0.931 | $2,793 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 01:12 AM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $1,288 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 09:40 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $1,096 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 09:40 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 10? | BUY NO | 0.941 | $1,046 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 09:21 PM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.854 | $1,113 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:52 PM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.916 | $2,286 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:50 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,425 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:50 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.919 | $4,593 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:37 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $4,995 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:04 AM | Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.956 | $1,911 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:03 AM | Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,128 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:21 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.880 | $6,466 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:07 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $1,718 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:07 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $1,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:57 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $3,416 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:56 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $22.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:55 PM | 0x42973552 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $100.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 10:54 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $9,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:54 PM | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $12.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:53 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $22.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:51 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $9,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:51 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $11.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:51 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $11.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:51 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.997 | $11.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $2,246 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $9,744 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:49 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $21.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |