| Jul 20, 06:39 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY YES | 0.120 | $4,176 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 05:50 PM | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $4,148 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 20, 03:41 PM | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.367 | $1,085 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 08:16 AM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.046 | $4,874 | —— |
| Jul 20, 08:03 AM | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY YES | 0.362 | $1,262 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 07:54 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.769 | $27.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 07:40 AM | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY YES | 0.340 | $3,218 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 20, 07:37 AM | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? | BUY YES | 0.080 | $1,120 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 10:59 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL YES | 0.840 | $3,358 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 10:59 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL YES | 0.850 | $5,666 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 10:55 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $1,852 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 09:57 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $10.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 09:57 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.934 | $9,803 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 06:49 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.070 | $4,200 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 05:44 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $3,266 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 11:45 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.495 | $1,378 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 11:24 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.073 | $1,704 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 10:35 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.050 | $1,251 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 10:20 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.826 | $3,788 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 09:59 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.284 | $4,192 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 18, 09:49 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.702 | $19.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 09:19 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $1,758 | —— |
| Jul 18, 08:54 PM | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots | BUY NO | 0.640 | $61.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 05:34 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.520 | $2,151 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 04:40 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY YES | 0.145 | $10.7K | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 17, 04:02 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY YES | 0.085 | $4,763 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 17, 12:54 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $7,030 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 15, 08:59 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $90.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 08:40 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $18.8K | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 14, 10:25 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $1,944 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 14, 08:46 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.018 | $1,146 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 08:28 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.048 | $2,163 | —— |
| Jul 14, 08:24 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.040 | $4,047 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 03:41 AM | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.544 | $23.1K | —— |
| Jul 13, 07:23 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $4,070 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:23 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $22.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 06:50 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $6,607 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 13, 06:48 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY YES | 0.069 | $2,468 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 13, 04:31 AM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $8,884 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 06:15 AM | Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $37.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 11, 10:48 PM | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.065 | $1,050 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 11, 04:24 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY YES | 0.479 | $1,444 | —— |
| Jul 10, 11:47 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.599 | $1,133 | —— |
| Jul 10, 09:44 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY YES | 0.290 | $2,401 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 10, 09:05 PM | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $4,844 | —— |
| Jul 10, 06:36 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.751 | $2,796 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 9, 08:25 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.355 | $7,082 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 9, 04:31 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $3,023 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 04:30 PM | Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $47.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 9, 03:35 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $21.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 04:56 AM | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,024 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 08:00 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.175 | $1,610 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 07:28 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.673 | $2,726 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 06:56 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.170 | $3,793 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 06:33 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.173 | $58.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 03:55 AM | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.600 | $34.3K | —— |
| Jul 7, 02:32 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $4,127 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 01:12 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.398 | $6,290 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 7, 01:01 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.310 | $2,590 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 7, 12:23 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $1,965 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 7, 12:22 AM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $3,028 | —— |
| Jul 6, 11:55 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $2,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:04 PM | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $499.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 08:53 PM | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY NO | 0.090 | $2,408 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 5, 10:32 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $11.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 11:06 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.480 | $5,828 | —— |
| Jul 4, 05:51 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.593 | $6,062 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 03:23 AM | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $7,378 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 05:55 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.577 | $5,897 | —— |
| Jul 2, 04:37 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $2,337 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 09:32 PM | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY YES | 0.492 | $2,357 | —— |
| Jul 1, 08:47 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.394 | $1,684 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 1, 08:38 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.423 | $1,820 | —— |
| Jul 1, 08:33 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.516 | $37.8K | —— |
| Jul 1, 08:18 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.400 | $1,281 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 1, 07:38 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.559 | $1,189 | —— |
| Jul 1, 07:37 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.528 | $2,265 | —— |
| Jul 1, 07:32 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.493 | $2,729 | —— |
| Jul 1, 03:22 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $22.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 02:54 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.782 | $19.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 06:08 AM | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $38.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 11:40 PM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.031 | $3,547 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 10:48 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.528 | $3,105 | —— |
| Jun 30, 10:48 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $1,760 | —— |
| Jun 30, 07:53 PM | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.607 | $31.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 06:39 AM | Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03? | BUY YES | 0.505 | $1,163 | —— |
| Jun 30, 03:52 AM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.031 | $1,006 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 03:50 AM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.030 | $4,388 | —— |
| Jun 29, 10:06 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.479 | $10.8K | —— |
| Jun 29, 06:08 PM | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $9,200 | —— |
| Jun 27, 10:12 PM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.240 | $28.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 06:24 PM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $149.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 07:52 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.519 | $4,575 | —— |
| Jun 26, 01:58 AM | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.240 | $3,600 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 26, 01:49 AM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 10:23 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $2,824 | —— |
| Jun 25, 10:15 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.035 | $4,512 | —— |
| Jun 25, 07:59 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $1,396 | —— |
| Jun 25, 07:52 PM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 07:40 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $2,200 | —— |
| Jun 25, 06:26 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.562 | $1,944 | —— |
| Jun 25, 06:04 PM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 05:01 PM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 05:01 PM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.250 | $29.4K | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 25, 05:00 PM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $27.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 04:54 PM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 04:32 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.539 | $1,006 | —— |
| Jun 25, 02:29 AM | Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $599.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 03:32 AM | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $6,678 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 02:57 AM | Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $2,011 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 23, 02:56 AM | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY NO | 0.300 | $2,331 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 23, 01:01 AM | Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | BUY YES | 0.320 | $2,395 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 23, 01:01 AM | Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $3,680 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 22, 02:55 AM | Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | BUY YES | 0.599 | $3,679 | —— |
| Jun 20, 06:54 PM | Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | BUY YES | 0.569 | $1,042 | —— |
| Jun 12, 08:21 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $111.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:57 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $8,982 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:48 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $3,357 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:47 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $1,357 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:44 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL YES | 0.780 | $1,263 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:43 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL YES | 0.782 | $3,142 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:35 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.859 | $3,571 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:28 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.150 | $1,877 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:24 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $7,091 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:24 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.183 | $1,339 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:21 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.220 | $1,042 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:18 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.277 | $2,297 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:16 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.240 | $1,063 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 07:15 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.210 | $1,981 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:12 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $2,782 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 07:11 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.330 | $4,112 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 07:11 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.290 | $2,668 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 07:10 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $5,237 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 07:08 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $10.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:05 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL YES | 0.460 | $4,286 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 06:52 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $5,281 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 06:39 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.538 | $1,800 | —— |
| Jun 12, 06:34 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $1,866 | —— |
| Jun 12, 06:22 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $3,955 | —— |
| Jun 12, 06:20 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $8,304 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 06:15 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.499 | $1,729 | —— |
| Jun 12, 05:41 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL NO | 0.080 | $1,815 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:33 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $4,519 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:16 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $33.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:12 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $2,322 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 05:06 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL NO | 0.300 | $4,006 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 04:54 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | SELL NO | 0.820 | $3,131 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 04:52 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL NO | 0.438 | $5,895 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 04:48 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $7,608 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 04:47 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL NO | 0.530 | $2,645 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 03:47 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY NO | 0.300 | $7,055 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 10, 01:28 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.585 | $6,070 | —— |
| Jun 9, 09:56 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $3,230 | —— |
| Jun 9, 08:45 AM | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.090 | $1,004 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 07:17 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.059 | $1,996 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 10:59 PM | Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,715 | —— |
| Jun 8, 09:34 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.880 | $11.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:34 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.880 | $4,490 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 07:39 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.319 | $6,366 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 06:00 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.700 | $20.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 05:11 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.720 | $15.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:56 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.730 | $10.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:41 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.660 | $1,391 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:41 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.650 | $1,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:18 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,170 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:16 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.660 | $2,643 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:16 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.649 | $5,151 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:16 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.650 | $1,787 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:57 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.580 | $2,429 | —— |
| Jun 8, 03:37 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL NO | 0.440 | $1,716 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 03:23 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.410 | $1,856 | —— |
| Jun 8, 03:22 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.400 | $2,216 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 02:47 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL NO | 0.600 | $5,975 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:46 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL NO | 0.630 | $2,089 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:46 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL YES | 0.645 | $3,222 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:42 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY NO | 0.650 | $6,540 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:25 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY NO | 0.700 | $18.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:22 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.700 | $1,382 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:10 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.620 | $5,286 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:08 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.410 | $1,700 | —— |
| Jun 8, 02:07 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.499 | $4,997 | —— |
| Jun 8, 01:54 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY NO | 0.440 | $2,535 | —— |
| Jun 8, 01:23 AM | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.688 | $4,418 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 12:44 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.220 | $1,568 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 7, 10:03 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.770 | $2,084 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:24 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.450 | $5,096 | —— |
| Jun 7, 07:16 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.398 | $4,069 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 06:53 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.360 | $5,352 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 06:53 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY NO | 0.359 | $5,365 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 06:52 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.348 | $2,687 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 5, 01:51 AM | 0x9af5f845 | BUY YES | 0.420 | $2,626 | —— |
| Jun 5, 01:51 AM | 0x583a5056 | BUY NO | 0.420 | $2,523 | —— |
| Jun 4, 11:03 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.289 | $6,534 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 3, 10:46 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $49.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 10:23 PM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.950 | $8,691 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 10:21 PM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.950 | $2,861 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 10:21 PM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.950 | $10.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 10:19 PM | 0x1b1a75d6 | BUY YES | 0.027 | $2,094 | —— |
| Jun 3, 09:39 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $78.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 09:38 PM | 0x1b1a75d6 | BUY NO | 0.440 | $2,643 | —— |