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MadeiraIsland
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x767a…8ac5 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
11
lifetime
PnL per $
+247%
historical realized
Win rate
31.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$20.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
12
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$21.2K
avg $1,767 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$7,926 / $13.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 12 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 12:53 AM | Belgium leading at halftime? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,311 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 01:51 AM | England leading at halftime? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,184 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 02:04 AM | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $3,437 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 11:26 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $1,991 | — |
| Jun 25, 09:08 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY YES | 0.492 | $1,229 | — |
| Jun 22, 07:18 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,146 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 05:57 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $1,762 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 01:41 AM | New Zealand leading at halftime? | SELL YES | 0.840 | $1,412 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 10:40 PM | Uruguay leading at halftime? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $1,136 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 08:35 PM | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $1,478 | — |
| Jun 12, 03:54 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.970 | $2,654 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:26 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $1,467 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
9 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Tech | 2 | $5,428 | $-1,446 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Other | 2 | $4,121 | $-1,188 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Other | 2 | $3,908 | $-385 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $1,478 | +$1,478 |
| New Zealand leading at halftime? | Other | 1 | $1,412 | $-1,412 |
| Belgium leading at halftime? | Other | 1 | $1,311 | $-1,311 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Other | 1 | $1,229 | +$1,229 |
| England leading at halftime? | Other | 1 | $1,184 | $-1,184 |
| Uruguay leading at halftime? | Other | 1 | $1,136 | $-1,136 |