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Llorenti

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x744f…f173 with our methodology badges per row.

0x744f8944ccd4ad2ee1184b58da985f25d27ff173·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
31
lifetime
PnL per $
+384%
historical realized
Win rate
42.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$131.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
39
Distinct markets
19
Volume (90d)
$169.1K
avg $4,337 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$78.8K / $90.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 39 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 12:53 AMWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL YES0.985$1,173— (SELL)
Jul 10, 09:11 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.208$6,056— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:28 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.160$4,668Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 06:50 PMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$4,810—
Jul 7, 10:03 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$12.8K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 07:24 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY YES0.340$4,340Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 08:53 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?SELL YES0.900$7,699— (SELL)
Jul 6, 06:37 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.500$2,884—
Jul 6, 06:24 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.500$3,722—
Jul 6, 05:57 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.510$1,988—
Jul 4, 06:17 PMCanada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.550$1,542—
Jul 3, 11:38 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.510$2,935—
Jul 3, 11:34 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.540$1,860—
Jul 3, 04:36 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?SELL YES0.955$3,232— (SELL)
Jul 3, 04:29 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?SELL YES0.948$2,137— (SELL)
Jul 3, 01:42 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.487$4,399—
Jul 2, 08:51 PMSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreSELL NO0.915$4,209— (SELL)
Jul 2, 04:45 PMSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.560$1,867—
Jul 2, 02:57 PMSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.560$3,000—
Jul 2, 01:33 PMSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.570$5,000—
Jul 1, 09:45 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?SELL YES0.971$15.3K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 09:34 PMBelgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.570$1,500—
Jul 1, 06:34 PMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$4,800Conviction tier
Jul 1, 06:33 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.260$4,100Conviction tier
Jun 29, 09:28 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.400$1,094Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 05:39 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?SELL YES0.280$1,101— (SELL)
Jun 28, 09:03 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?SELL YES0.999$6,110— (SELL)
Jun 28, 06:35 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.530$1,200—
Jun 28, 06:24 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.530$2,042—
Jun 28, 04:04 AMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$14.0K— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:04 AMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY YES0.500$7,000—
Jun 27, 01:51 AMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.850$3,927— (SELL)
Jun 27, 01:45 AMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.820$3,789— (SELL)
Jun 26, 11:11 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.580$4,000—
Jun 26, 10:28 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.610$2,385Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:32 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.570$3,931— (SELL)
Jun 26, 01:55 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.580$4,000—
Jun 23, 09:37 PMWill England win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.500$3,654—
Jun 20, 06:11 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.980$4,941— (SELL)

Markets active in

19 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Tech6$22.0K$-1,262
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Other2$21.0K$-6,986
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Other2$19.4K$-11,213
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Other2$17.1K$-8,412
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech4$16.3K+$894
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreTech4$14.1K+$5,658
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech2$10.7K$-1,387
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Other3$9,768$-970
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Other3$9,352$-2,869
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Crypto1$4,941$-4,941
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$4,810+$4,810
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Other1$4,800+$4,800
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Other2$4,795+$4,795
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Other1$3,654+$3,654
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$1,542+$1,542
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$1,500+$1,500
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Politics1$1,173$-1,173
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Other1$1,101$-1,101
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Other1$1,094+$1,094