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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x73e7…c504 with our methodology badges per row.

0x73e791f252c990ac2514bb52318bc22ec79bc504·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
11
lifetime
PnL per $
+4%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$119.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 11 resolved trades · 4% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
28
Distinct markets
19
Volume (90d)
$205.5K
avg $7,338 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$175.6K / $29.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 28 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:09 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.900$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:07 PMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY YES0.859$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:18 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.976$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:17 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.975$17.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:08 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY NO0.979$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:50 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.992$8,777Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:35 PMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY NO0.973$2,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:54 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.908$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 03:18 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.970$57.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 03:28 AMWill Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL YES0.903$1,083— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:25 AMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?SELL NO0.965$5,514— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:25 AMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?SELL NO0.967$15.5K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:06 AMWill Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL YES0.912$1,113— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:01 AMWill Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL YES0.960$1,018— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:00 AMWill Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL YES0.945$3,780— (SELL)
Jul 7, 02:59 AMWill Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL YES0.936$1,894— (SELL)
Jul 5, 03:04 AMWill Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY YES0.977$4,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 12:20 AMWill Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY YES0.982$7,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 12:19 AMWill Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY YES0.988$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 12:19 AMWill Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY YES0.988$3,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 12:18 AMWill Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY YES0.989$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 12:17 AMWill Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY YES0.988$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:32 PMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY YES0.991$4,990Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:21 PMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY YES0.991$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:56 AMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY NO0.978$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:28 AMWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?BUY YES0.923$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:21 AMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY NO0.981$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:51 PM0xfc613d67BUY YES0.976$3,593Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

19 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$57.2K+$57.2K
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Other4$41.0K$-992
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$17.5K+$17.5K
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Tech3$11.9K+$2,107
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Tech1$8,777+$8,777
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Other2$7,800+$7,800
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Tech3$6,101+$1,899
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Tech1$5,000+$5,000
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Finance1$5,000+$5,000
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech1$4,990+$4,990
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Tech1$4,000+$4,000
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Tech2$3,894+$106
0xfc613d67—1$3,593+$3,593
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Other1$2,200+$2,200
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?Tech1$2,000+$2,000
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Other1$1,500+$1,500