n.magas

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x73c5…2f80 with our methodology badges per row.

0x73c5701afdefba2814193168448b2992306b2f80·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

1,027

lifetime

PnL per $

+72%

historical realized

Win rate

59.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$4.50M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$886.4K

avg $4,432 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$658.4K / $228.0K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 10:43 PM	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	SELL YES	0.950	$1,377	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:43 PM	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	SELL YES	0.744	$2,012	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:43 PM	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	BUY YES	0.784	$2,351	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:15 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.890	$17.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:15 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.896	$17.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:10 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.916	$2,265	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.872	$8,720	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.933	$9,333	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,239	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.958	$8,582	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.942	$7,194	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:08 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,941	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:07 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.868	$4,123	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:06 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.818	$8,175	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:06 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.813	$1,723	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:03 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.767	$7,674	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:57 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.892	$1,794	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:56 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.685	$2,099	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:55 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.654	$3,379	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:55 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.667	$3,312	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:52 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.855	$5,488	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:40 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,638	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:27 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.635	$5,399	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:26 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.630	$3,868	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:24 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.620	$1,967	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:22 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.550	$2,726	—
Jul 19, 07:21 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.550	$2,605	—
Jul 19, 07:21 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.550	$5,500	—
Jul 19, 07:21 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.550	$5,500	—
Jul 19, 07:21 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL YES	0.450	$4,181	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.547	$2,786	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:10 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.573	$3,254	—
Jul 19, 07:10 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.572	$5,716	—
Jul 19, 07:10 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.570	$5,700	—
Jul 18, 10:54 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.968	$10.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.588	$2,288	—
Jul 18, 10:43 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.503	$7,499	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:42 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.437	$3,036	—
Jul 18, 10:41 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.449	$1,544	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:40 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.429	$4,290	—
Jul 18, 10:38 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.405	$2,881	—
Jul 18, 10:38 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.405	$4,050	—
Jul 18, 10:35 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.571	$1,140	—
Jul 18, 10:34 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.572	$5,720	—
Jul 18, 10:29 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.520	$1,526	—
Jul 18, 10:29 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.510	$1,122	—
Jul 18, 10:29 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.499	$1,576	—
Jul 18, 10:26 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.279	$1,595	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:26 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.288	$2,453	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:25 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.280	$1,148	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:25 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.282	$1,877	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:25 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.281	$2,810	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 10:25 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.281	$2,810	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 10:25 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.281	$2,810	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 10:23 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.317	$1,332	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:23 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.310	$1,258	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.600	$6,000	—
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.290	$2,900	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.290	$2,900	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 10:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.290	$2,900	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 09:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.960	$9,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.900	$11.9K	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.890	$4,842	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.871	$3,304	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.860	$3,399	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:35 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.840	$8,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:35 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.840	$8,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:35 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.840	$8,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:35 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.840	$8,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:35 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.840	$8,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:21 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.830	$3,578	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:17 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.650	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:13 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.650	$3,524	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.640	$1,471	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.623	$1,665	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.595	$1,428	—
Jul 15, 09:02 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.995	$2,176	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.110	$1,100	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:39 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.657	$1,491	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:39 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.650	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:39 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.642	$2,414	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:27 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.649	$8,186	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:19 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.630	$1,149	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:18 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.637	$3,065	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:18 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.650	$4,704	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:17 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL NO	0.338	$2,224	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:14 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.723	$3,086	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:40 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.335	$2,696	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 07:38 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.343	$2,286	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:36 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.357	$1,035	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:36 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.370	$4,021	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 07:35 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.365	$2,077	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:35 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.365	$3,650	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:35 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.365	$3,650	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:32 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.631	$3,655	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:14 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.367	$1,103	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:38 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.882	$3,048	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:37 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.117	$1,175	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 08:27 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.880	$7,342	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.885	$8,850	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.870	$8,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.870	$8,699	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.865	$1,774	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:20 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.850	$8,474	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:19 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.835	$2,072	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:19 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.590	$2,374	—
Jul 14, 08:14 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	SELL YES	0.568	$1,005	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:14 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.568	$1,002	—
Jul 14, 07:48 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	SELL NO	0.820	$1,824	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:45 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.818	$2,480	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:42 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.800	$2,455	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:41 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	SELL NO	0.803	$12.7K	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:36 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	SELL NO	0.810	$5,761	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:36 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.807	$1,037	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:33 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	SELL NO	0.807	$2,581	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:27 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	SELL NO	0.790	$17.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:22 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.800	$1,306	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:15 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.362	$1,421	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:08 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.630	$1,203	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:08 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	SELL YES	0.366	$1,926	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:08 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.377	$3,409	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 03:00 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.970	$9,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 03:00 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.965	$1,715	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.625	$3,626	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:51 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.679	$2,715	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.606	$3,919	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.588	$5,884	—
Jul 12, 02:50 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.699	$6,993	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:48 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.680	$1,368	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:48 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.682	$3,041	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:42 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.568	$4,243	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:42 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.573	$1,083	—
Jul 12, 02:35 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.502	$1,203	—
Jul 12, 02:35 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.487	$1,722	—
Jul 12, 02:35 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.487	$7,508	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:33 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.507	$1,896	—
Jul 12, 02:33 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.495	$1,448	—
Jul 12, 02:31 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.618	$6,175	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:31 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.310	$3,100	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 01:20 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.777	$4,426	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 01:15 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.240	$5,936	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:01 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.997	$15.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:58 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.917	$8,655	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:57 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.879	$6,645	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:57 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.877	$8,769	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:54 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.829	$6,512	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:52 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.825	$5,990	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.785	$4,458	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.776	$4,288	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.773	$7,731	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:40 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.680	$6,798	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:35 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.333	$3,325	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 10:35 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.645	$1,202	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:24 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.620	$3,043	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:24 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.618	$2,835	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:21 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.385	$1,726	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.390	$1,053	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:20 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.385	$3,475	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 10:18 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.663	$2,103	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:15 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.595	$5,950	—
Jul 11, 10:14 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.410	$1,498	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:13 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.432	$2,009	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:13 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.440	$4,400	—
Jul 11, 10:13 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.440	$4,216	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:08 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.470	$1,024	—
Jul 11, 10:08 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.468	$3,434	—
Jul 11, 09:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.487	$3,365	—
Jul 11, 09:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.498	$2,023	—
Jul 11, 09:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.507	$1,103	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.737	$6,776	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.740	$4,786	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.740	$7,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.740	$7,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.740	$7,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.740	$7,399	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.735	$3,010	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.740	$7,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:44 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.730	$1,173	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:42 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.728	$5,534	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:40 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.713	$7,125	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:40 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.713	$7,125	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:38 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.700	$1,752	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:38 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.700	$7,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:38 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.699	$6,994	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:36 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.495	$2,332	—
Jul 11, 09:34 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.475	$2,306	—
Jul 11, 09:31 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.477	$6,957	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:29 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.443	$3,703	—
Jul 11, 09:29 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.438	$1,916	—
Jul 10, 08:59 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.998	$3,466	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:59 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.995	$9,954	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:41 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.622	$2,997	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:26 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	SELL NO	0.520	$18.7K	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.520	$2,235	—
Jul 10, 08:25 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.517	$4,145	—
Jul 10, 08:23 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.512	$5,125	—
Jul 10, 08:23 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.512	$5,125	—
Jul 10, 08:23 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.512	$5,125	—
Jul 10, 08:23 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.512	$5,125	—
Jul 10, 08:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	SELL NO	0.492	$4,540	— (SELL)

Markets active in

12 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Other	48	$229.0K	+$145.7K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Tech	26	$144.9K	+$105.7K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	27	$89.3K	+$33.9K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	15	$83.6K	+$49.7K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Other	20	$77.7K	+$27.4K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Tech	11	$66.6K	+$20.0K
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Other	18	$57.0K	+$2,012
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Other	13	$55.1K	$-28,489
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Tech	12	$54.5K	+$52.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	5	$19.7K	+$19.7K
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Politics	3	$5,741	$-1,038
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Other	2	$3,276	+$3,276