n.magas

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x73c5…2f80 with our methodology badges per row.

0x73c5701afdefba2814193168448b2992306b2f80·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

485

lifetime

PnL per $

+574%

historical realized

Win rate

62.0%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$1.33M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$673.7K

avg $3,368 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$433.7K / $239.9K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 21, 01:55 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.990	$2,878	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:55 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,467	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:55 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.987	$9,875	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:52 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.870	$3,480	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:51 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.820	$1,851	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:51 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.770	$3,549	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:49 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.720	$3,754	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:48 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.640	$2,216	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:43 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.594	$1,044	—
Jun 21, 01:41 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.520	$5,200	—
Jun 21, 01:40 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.530	$1,539	—
Jun 21, 01:36 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.510	$2,014	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:36 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.520	$5,200	—
Jun 21, 01:24 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.420	$3,381	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:21 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.400	$1,508	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:21 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.400	$4,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:21 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.420	$1,572	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:21 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.420	$1,578	—
Jun 21, 01:20 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.410	$3,671	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:17 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.350	$1,483	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:17 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.360	$3,600	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:16 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.360	$3,600	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:16 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.360	$3,600	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:16 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.360	$3,600	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:01 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.700	$10.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 12:48 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.710	$2,906	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:41 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.760	$7,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.740	$3,046	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:37 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.240	$2,400	Conviction tier
Jun 21, 12:37 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.240	$1,742	Conviction tier
Jun 21, 12:37 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.240	$2,400	Conviction tier
Jun 21, 12:08 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.170	$1,653	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:07 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.170	$1,603	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:05 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.840	$13.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:56 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.800	$1,510	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:53 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.860	$1,398	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:53 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,403	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.830	$6,127	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:48 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,015	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.670	$6,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:25 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.830	$3,426	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:24 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.830	$2,106	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.760	$7,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:13 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.730	$1,556	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:11 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.710	$2,138	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:40 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.650	$9,391	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:40 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.650	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:40 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.650	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:40 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.650	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:40 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.620	$1,797	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:39 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.610	$1,182	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:38 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.600	$2,842	—
Jun 20, 08:37 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.630	$1,005	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:37 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.640	$1,971	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:35 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.620	$1,920	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:31 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.610	$6,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:22 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.350	$3,500	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:21 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.310	$3,100	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:21 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.300	$3,000	Conviction tier
Jun 20, 08:17 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.400	$4,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:17 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.400	$3,242	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:13 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.370	$2,458	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 08:08 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.620	$7,443	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.650	$6,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:46 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.070	$1,052	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 05:30 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.930	$14.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 02:16 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.970	$4,850	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:15 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.960	$4,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:15 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.960	$4,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:13 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	SELL YES	0.977	$1,804	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 02:10 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.980	$3,018	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:42 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.940	$1,489	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:35 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.920	$4,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:35 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.920	$4,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:30 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.260	$1,300	Conviction tier
Jun 13, 01:18 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.730	$2,326	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:11 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.710	$3,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:09 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.310	$1,550	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 08:57 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,385	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:57 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.966	$9,663	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:30 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.470	$2,201	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:29 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.470	$1,223	—
Jun 12, 08:29 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	SELL YES	0.530	$10.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:28 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.530	$2,650	—
Jun 12, 08:28 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.530	$2,650	—
Jun 12, 08:28 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.510	$1,678	—
Jun 12, 08:26 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.520	$1,767	—
Jun 12, 08:26 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.520	$2,600	—
Jun 12, 08:24 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	SELL YES	0.510	$5,100	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:16 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.440	$2,200	—
Jun 12, 08:15 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.440	$1,169	—
Jun 12, 08:15 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.450	$1,235	—
Jun 12, 08:11 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.440	$1,445	—
Jun 12, 08:10 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.573	$15.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:09 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.630	$2,289	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:09 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.630	$3,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:09 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.626	$3,131	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:09 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.590	$1,002	—
Jun 12, 08:09 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.590	$2,950	—
Jun 12, 08:09 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.580	$1,161	—
Jun 12, 07:23 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,267	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:22 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	SELL YES	0.510	$5,591	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:21 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.530	$1,072	—
Jun 12, 07:17 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.500	$1,890	—
Jun 12, 07:16 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	SELL YES	0.500	$2,664	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:16 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.500	$1,305	—
Jun 12, 07:16 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.500	$2,500	—
Jun 12, 07:16 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.500	$5,671	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:14 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.500	$2,144	—
Jun 12, 07:14 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.500	$3,646	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:13 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.500	$2,500	—
Jun 12, 07:12 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.490	$1,021	—
Jun 12, 07:12 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.490	$1,496	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:08 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	SELL NO	0.490	$2,450	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 07:06 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.470	$1,518	—
Jun 12, 07:03 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.470	$1,128	—
Jun 12, 03:53 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.950	$4,750	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:53 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.950	$3,996	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:44 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.850	$4,250	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:44 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.850	$4,205	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:41 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.820	$2,379	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:39 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.810	$2,319	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:39 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.800	$1,015	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:10 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL NO	0.670	$5,097	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:09 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.670	$2,644	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:09 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.670	$3,350	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:09 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL NO	0.680	$1,856	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:08 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.680	$3,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:34 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.660	$2,365	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:25 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.640	$1,591	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:16 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,950	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:13 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,950	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:13 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,950	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:13 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,950	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:13 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,950	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:11 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.370	$4,681	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 02:08 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.380	$1,900	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:08 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.380	$1,900	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 02:05 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL NO	0.620	$3,100	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 02:02 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.630	$3,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:57 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.999	$11.1K	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:48 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.992	$2,651	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:25 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.940	$6,125	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.910	$4,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.900	$4,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.910	$4,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.910	$4,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.910	$4,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:15 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.890	$4,450	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:54 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.870	$1,096	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:54 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.870	$1,120	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:49 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.860	$2,113	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:47 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.872	$4,358	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:35 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.870	$4,350	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:17 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.860	$4,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:10 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	SELL YES	0.680	$6,433	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:10 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:10 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 07:10 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 09:22 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	SELL NO	0.600	$2,960	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:22 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	SELL NO	0.610	$1,809	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 09:19 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	BUY NO	0.560	$1,723	—
Jun 10, 09:16 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	BUY NO	0.520	$1,850	—
Jun 10, 09:16 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	BUY NO	0.500	$2,153	—
Jun 10, 08:04 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	SELL YES	0.660	$4,718	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 08:02 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	BUY YES	0.690	$2,915	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 07:54 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	BUY YES	0.730	$1,720	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 04:34 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?	SELL NO	0.630	$4,274	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 04:32 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?	SELL NO	0.630	$4,811	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 04:31 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?	BUY NO	0.636	$8,061	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 04:30 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?	SELL YES	0.397	$1,597	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 04:30 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?	BUY YES	0.447	$3,699	—
Jun 1, 08:39 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	SELL YES	0.900	$5,468	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 08:38 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	SELL YES	0.890	$2,436	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 08:36 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	BUY YES	0.850	$1,307	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:36 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	BUY YES	0.827	$4,134	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:36 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	BUY YES	0.846	$4,232	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:33 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	BUY YES	0.790	$2,343	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:33 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	BUY YES	0.781	$3,907	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:11 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY YES	0.990	$4,979	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:11 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY YES	0.980	$1,955	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:11 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY YES	0.900	$2,959	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:08 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.565	$3,414	—
May 31, 09:03 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY YES	0.940	$2,820	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 08:45 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	SELL YES	0.840	$1,094	— (SELL)
May 31, 08:26 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY YES	0.314	$2,779	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 08:19 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY YES	0.310	$1,638	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 08:11 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	SELL NO	0.660	$4,136	— (SELL)
May 31, 08:11 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	SELL NO	0.660	$3,735	— (SELL)
May 31, 08:09 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	SELL NO	0.670	$1,311	— (SELL)
May 31, 08:08 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	SELL NO	0.650	$2,789	— (SELL)
May 31, 08:04 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	SELL NO	0.640	$3,200	— (SELL)
May 31, 07:45 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.560	$2,800	—
May 31, 07:43 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.420	$2,100	—
May 31, 07:43 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.420	$2,100	—
May 31, 07:43 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.409	$2,047	—
May 31, 07:43 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.410	$2,048	—
May 31, 07:43 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.386	$1,932	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 07:36 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	SELL NO	0.360	$1,800	— (SELL)
May 31, 07:35 PM	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	BUY NO	0.370	$1,830	Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

12 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Other	34	$123.2K	+$29.3K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	30	$113.9K	+$67.4K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Other	19	$81.0K	+$21.9K
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Other	24	$67.7K	+$20.8K
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Other	20	$65.4K	$-845
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?	Other	21	$53.5K	+$17.3K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Other	18	$48.9K	+$5,875
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Other	12	$38.7K	+$35.1K
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	Other	7	$23.8K	+$8,020
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?	Other	5	$22.4K	+$1,077
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	Other	8	$19.8K	+$876
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Crypto	2	$15.2K	$-13,055