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Ronaldo2100
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x71ca…3501 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
79.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$187.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 12 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
29
Distinct markets
12
Volume (90d)
$283.8K
avg $9,785 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$184.4K / $99.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 29 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 06:19 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.804 | $1,608 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:46 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $31.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:45 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $61.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 04:47 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.650 | $1,509 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 04:43 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.590 | $1,358 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 04:40 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.620 | $27.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 04:40 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.640 | $4,676 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 9, 07:12 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $9,555 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 08:37 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $8,920 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 04:30 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $3,000 | — |
| Jul 1, 05:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $26.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 09:49 PM | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $4,601 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 12:49 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.601 | $1,335 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 12:49 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.620 | $2,465 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 12:49 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.631 | $1,078 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 10:44 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.750 | $3,333 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 10:25 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.770 | $1,711 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 01:09 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.660 | $14.7K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 04:37 PM | Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $14.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:46 PM | 0x6e9f90a6 | SELL YES | 0.460 | $2,555 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 05:31 PM | 0x6e9f90a6 | BUY YES | 0.560 | $3,247 | — |
| May 10, 04:23 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.571 | $5,074 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 04:02 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.570 | $15.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 10:21 AM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.587 | $5,085 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 04:06 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | SELL YES | 0.660 | $3,361 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 02:34 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | BUY YES | 0.670 | $3,870 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 05:12 PM | 0x828aaec4 | BUY NO | 0.910 | $5,055 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 05:07 PM | 0xae6d3d20 | SELL NO | 0.983 | $14.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 06:30 AM | 0x828aaec4 | BUY NO | 0.897 | $4,984 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
12 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Finance | 7 | $154.7K | +$84.5K |
| 0xa8e8cdf6 | — | 5 | $32.6K | $-24,849 |
| 0xc4c3dbcc | — | 6 | $24.6K | +$4,745 |
| 0xae6d3d20 | — | 1 | $14.2K | $-14,197 |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome? | Sports | 1 | $14.2K | +$14.2K |
| 0x828aaec4 | — | 2 | $10.0K | +$10.0K |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | Other | 1 | $9,555 | +$9,555 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Other | 1 | $8,920 | $-8,920 |
| 0x6e9f90a6 | — | 2 | $5,802 | +$692 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Other | 1 | $4,601 | +$4,601 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | Other | 1 | $3,000 | +$3,000 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $1,608 | +$1,608 |