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Cbs710

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x700a…a239 with our methodology badges per row.

0x700a306c6dd9c87db2f5519b1bfae0340e83a239·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
78.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$180.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 15 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$200.9K
avg $11.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$161.7K / $39.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 04:17 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.936$52.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:05 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.909$46.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:40 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.950$9,350Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 02:53 PMWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY NO0.950$8,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 02:52 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?SELL NO0.981$2,234— (SELL)
Jul 1, 02:51 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?SELL NO0.981$6,703— (SELL)
Jul 1, 01:32 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?BUY NO0.770$7,013Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 08:41 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.770$5,435Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:20 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.870$1,050Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:50 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.800$1,974Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:03 AMWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?SELL YES0.942$7,225— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:20 PMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL YES0.984$13.2K— (SELL)
Jun 21, 06:26 PMWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?BUY YES0.608$4,666Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 05:55 AMWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY NO0.778$3,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 08:58 AMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY YES0.805$10.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:34 AM0xbf1d0865BUY NO0.990$10.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 06:46 PM0xa1d97efbSELL NO0.990$9,840— (SELL)

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume