| Jul 15, 08:54 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.580 | $1,478 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 08:43 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.925 | $2,005 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 12:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $69.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 12:43 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $27.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 09:05 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.640 | $3,971 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 03:51 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.720 | $16.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 02:20 PM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $4,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 12:05 AM | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $29.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 03:15 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $29.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 07:33 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $181.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 02:55 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $126.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 07:08 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.821 | $8,280 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 12:11 AM | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | SELL YES | 0.802 | $3,008 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 30, 11:53 PM | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $31.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 12:40 PM | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | SELL NO | 0.971 | $2,142 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 12:04 PM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 11:17 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $14.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 23, 11:15 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $14.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 02:22 AM | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,045 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:46 PM | 0x6fa13f31 | BUY YES | 0.971 | $1,575 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 09:13 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $46.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:29 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $58.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:06 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.930 | $1,734 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 11:15 AM | Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $2,041 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 06:45 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.910 | $1,045 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:50 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $34.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 06:32 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL NO | 0.629 | $3,305 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 04:02 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.801 | $4,006 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 01:51 PM | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $6,566 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:10 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.961 | $3,034 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 04:01 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $5,105 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 01:52 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.994 | $16.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:31 PM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.941 | $13.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:31 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,169 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 05:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $27.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:07 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $7,759 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:00 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.386 | $1,818 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 11:59 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.677 | $1,789 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 04:03 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,665 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 03:01 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $90.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:23 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $50.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:51 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $59.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $25.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:47 AM | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $3,821 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:39 AM | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $2,894 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 05:42 AM | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY NO | 0.916 | $1,617 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 07:43 PM | 0xd4cb184e | BUY YES | 0.999 | $106.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 07:43 PM | 0xd4cb184e | BUY YES | 0.999 | $33.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:24 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $16.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 01:37 AM | 0xdb22a774 | BUY NO | 0.998 | $49.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:11 AM | 0xdb22a774 | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2,994 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:11 AM | 0xdb22a774 | BUY NO | 0.997 | $7,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:06 AM | 0xdb22a774 | BUY NO | 0.995 | $17.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 11:15 AM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.993 | $110.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 02:13 AM | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $5,559 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:58 AM | 0x2f6a5475 | BUY NO | 0.960 | $5,125 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:56 AM | 0x3f0743b8 | SELL NO | 0.867 | $5,663 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 12:16 AM | 0xaa145cf5 | BUY NO | 0.995 | $2,086 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 12:14 AM | 0x3f0743b8 | SELL NO | 0.903 | $2,071 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 02:28 PM | 0x3f0743b8 | SELL NO | 0.941 | $1,011 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 01:30 AM | 0xaa145cf5 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $37.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:08 AM | 0x3f0743b8 | SELL NO | 0.940 | $2,407 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 09:16 PM | 0x3f0743b8 | SELL NO | 0.940 | $1,203 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 09:14 PM | 0x3f0743b8 | SELL NO | 0.943 | $1,114 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 03:24 AM | 0x7f4378c2 | BUY NO | 0.992 | $13.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 02:42 AM | 0x7f4378c2 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,133 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 02:21 AM | 0x727ee8aa | BUY NO | 0.997 | $19.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 07:27 AM | 0x6ed39e8c | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,096 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 04:57 AM | 0xcddc048c | BUY NO | 0.990 | $17.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 03:30 AM | 0xcdc9fdf7 | BUY NO | 0.994 | $24.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 03:20 PM | 0x70d706fe | BUY NO | 0.990 | $17.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 08:18 AM | 0xa2333934 | BUY YES | 0.999 | $52.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 08:17 AM | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $51.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 02:26 AM | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $30.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 10:12 PM | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $276.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 02:40 AM | 0xc5331256 | BUY NO | 0.998 | $1,216 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 09:41 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.430 | $1,075 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 08:59 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.410 | $2,380 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 08:55 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.440 | $1,320 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 08:51 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.470 | $1,281 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 02:23 PM | 0xcddc048c | SELL NO | 0.966 | $2,898 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 02:22 PM | 0x62338d04 | BUY YES | 0.999 | $1,819 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 12:04 PM | 0xc5331256 | SELL NO | 0.977 | $2,905 | — (SELL) |