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despacito2024

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x684d…7271 with our methodology badges per row.

0x684d4c641c42da041fd39238a9b87f3ebb757271·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
11
lifetime
PnL per $
+127%
historical realized
Win rate
62.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$50.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
13
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$66.4K
avg $5,108 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$46.3K / $20.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 13 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 16, 09:49 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.580$5,800
Jul 16, 09:48 AMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.500$5,000
Jul 13, 08:09 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.590$5,900
Jul 11, 10:03 AMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.245$2,450Conviction tier
Jul 10, 09:53 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.210$10.1K— (SELL)
Jul 10, 01:59 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.605$6,050Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 10:32 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.140$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 04:00 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.520$2,725
Jul 5, 02:24 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.200$2,000Conviction tier
Jul 4, 12:57 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.131$3,094Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 12:52 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.130$5,917Killed band — neutral expectation
May 10, 10:14 PM0x4ad8fd3eSELL YES0.999$9,990— (SELL)
May 10, 03:47 PM0x4ad8fd3eBUY YES0.600$6,000

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech4$24.9K+$4,732
0x4ad8fd3e2$16.0K$-3,990
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech1$6,050+$6,050
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Other1$5,900+$5,900
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech1$2,725+$2,725
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Other1$2,450+$2,450
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Other1$1,400+$1,400