maz26

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x6754…e3bc with our methodology badges per row.

0x67542c3219b37fd1610aad290676ff91cdbfe3bc·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

114

lifetime

PnL per $

-1%

historical realized

Win rate

70.5%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$6.16M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 114 resolved trades · -1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

143

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$7.05M

avg $49.3K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$6.27M / $786.6K

net direction

Recent trades

last 143 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 06:59 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.745	$7,084	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:44 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.740	$212.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:44 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.740	$108.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:44 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.740	$59.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:44 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.740	$52.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:44 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.740	$234.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:45 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.540	$62.0K	—
Jul 18, 07:17 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.760	$99.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:17 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.760	$51.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:17 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.760	$141.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:01 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.693	$2,050	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:30 PM	Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.640	$9,344	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:29 PM	Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	BUY NO	0.630	$9,198	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 03:41 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.685	$1,619	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:59 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.672	$114.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:48 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.697	$145.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:43 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.670	$41.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:43 PM	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.670	$29.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:47 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.855	$1,586	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 12:43 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.568	$38.5K	—
Jul 12, 12:17 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.845	$65.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:56 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.818	$24.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:04 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.263	$12.4K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 09:04 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.260	$12.0K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 09:03 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.258	$17.8K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 09:02 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.255	$12.3K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 09:01 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.253	$19.0K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 08:49 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.247	$15.5K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 08:36 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.782	$22.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 07:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.520	$8,772	—
Jul 11, 07:43 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.472	$67.0K	—
Jul 11, 07:24 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.767	$8,211	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 07:24 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.767	$44.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 07:23 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.480	$147.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 07:23 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.485	$148.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 07:22 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.765	$53.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 06:46 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.757	$47.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 06:40 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.752	$66.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 05:12 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.748	$6,901	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:07 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.855	$4,986	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 05:13 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.840	$28.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 08:01 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.760	$2,969	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 07:51 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.755	$9,556	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 07:14 PM	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.750	$55.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 06:42 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.388	$31.4K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:55 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.740	$20.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$82.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$378.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$41.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$125.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$24.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$52.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$9,431	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:35 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$9,162	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 06:08 PM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.610	$40.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:00 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.820	$39.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:10 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.290	$5,510	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 09:53 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.280	$14.0K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 09:34 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.220	$3,111	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 09:31 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.210	$2,895	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 03:50 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	SELL NO	0.830	$91.2K	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 10:41 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.900	$7,123	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:34 PM	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.770	$6,844	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:29 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	SELL NO	0.510	$86.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 07:06 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.530	$294.5K	—
Jul 1, 02:12 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.550	$20.1K	—
Jul 1, 01:00 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.590	$6,062	—
Jun 30, 09:59 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.860	$193.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:58 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.860	$34.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:13 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.460	$7,534	—
Jun 29, 04:13 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.460	$368.0K	—
Jun 29, 04:02 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.450	$88.2K	—
Jun 27, 04:08 AM	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.560	$2,120	—
Jun 27, 03:58 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.940	$96.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 02:54 AM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.730	$18.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 02:53 AM	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.640	$144.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:50 AM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.710	$9,503	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 12:00 AM	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.730	$5,883	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:47 PM	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.720	$57.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:38 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.580	$112.8K	—
Jun 26, 09:44 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.590	$71.1K	—
Jun 26, 08:05 PM	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.957	$1,919	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 08:04 PM	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.955	$4,517	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 08:02 PM	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.950	$5,355	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:00 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.730	$131.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:59 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.730	$307.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:57 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.850	$3,185	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:23 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,767	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:54 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,501	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:14 PM	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.800	$29.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 01:39 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.540	$68.6K	—
Jun 26, 01:13 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.510	$21.3K	—
Jun 26, 01:13 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.510	$5,644	—
Jun 26, 01:10 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	SELL NO	0.500	$162.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 12:35 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.460	$12.7K	—
Jun 26, 12:35 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.460	$52.3K	—
Jun 25, 11:04 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.635	$18.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:02 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.620	$7,776	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:00 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.599	$1,657	—
Jun 25, 10:57 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.593	$70.4K	—
Jun 25, 10:37 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.569	$5,797	—
Jun 25, 10:22 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.559	$4,470	—
Jun 25, 10:17 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.443	$2,429	—
Jun 25, 09:50 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.476	$13.4K	—
Jun 25, 09:45 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.520	$3,309	—
Jun 25, 09:04 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.890	$167.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:04 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.890	$32.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 08:06 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.830	$10.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:59 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.550	$3,050	—
Jun 25, 07:58 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.782	$1,410	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:54 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.782	$17.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:54 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.782	$8,747	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:53 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.828	$4,762	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:32 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.793	$1,809	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:07 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.203	$1,186	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 06:52 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.793	$5,369	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 04:46 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.811	$1,706	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 12:52 AM	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.800	$24.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 12:52 AM	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.800	$33.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 12:49 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.570	$2,280	—
Jun 24, 11:05 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.350	$55.7K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 08:58 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.910	$11.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 08:58 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.910	$55.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:58 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.780	$95.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:00 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$28.6K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 04:00 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$19.8K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 04:00 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$15.9K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 04:00 PM	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$22.4K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 12:59 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.250	$49.5K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 12:39 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.760	$17.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 22, 12:39 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.760	$54.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 22, 12:07 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$14.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 05:46 PM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.890	$30.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 05:46 PM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.890	$47.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 05:46 PM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.890	$5,521	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 04:00 AM	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.230	$8,367	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 03:54 AM	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.780	$76.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 02:48 AM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.890	$106.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:03 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.310	$67.1K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:00 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.928	$2,298	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:55 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.944	$9,685	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:18 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.945	$65.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:24 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.840	$9,290	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

53 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Other	8	$724.8K	+$724.8K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	6	$673.5K	+$673.5K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Other	3	$463.7K	+$463.7K
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Other	2	$439.2K	+$439.2K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Other	2	$380.6K	+$208.4K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Other	4	$372.0K	$-220,450
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Other	6	$323.3K	$-2,084
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	3	$291.9K	+$291.9K
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Other	8	$274.6K	+$274.6K
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Other	2	$227.9K	+$227.9K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Other	4	$214.3K	+$214.3K
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Tech	3	$184.3K	+$184.3K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Tech	2	$183.8K	+$183.8K
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Other	5	$182.5K	+$182.5K
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Other	2	$146.7K	+$146.7K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Tech	1	$145.4K	+$145.4K
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Other	4	$136.0K	$-7,855
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Other	9	$127.9K	+$127.9K
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Other	1	$106.6K	+$106.6K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Other	1	$96.7K	+$96.7K
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Other	1	$91.2K	$-91,155
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Other	6	$89.0K	+$89.0K
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Other	2	$85.3K	$-68,571
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Other	3	$83.2K	+$83.2K
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Other	3	$77.0K	+$77.0K
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Other	3	$68.2K	+$68.2K
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Other	2	$67.3K	+$67.3K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Other	2	$67.2K	+$64.0K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Other	1	$67.1K	+$67.1K
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Other	2	$63.3K	+$63.3K

Showing top 30 by volume.