| Jul 19, 09:20 PM | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $1,345 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 07:56 PM | Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,205 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 06:54 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.300 | $1,116 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 11:04 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $1,116 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jul 18, 09:37 PM | England leading at halftime? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $1,135 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 05:02 PM | France vs. England: Draw at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $1,017 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 18, 04:49 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.280 | $1,399 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 9, 08:54 PM | France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,049 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 11:23 PM | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,401 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 05:03 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $2,805 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 10:57 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $1,083 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 07:03 PM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $1,107 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 04:59 PM | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.364 | $2,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 26, 04:59 PM | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.713 | $2,640 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 06:58 PM | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $1,548 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 23, 04:18 AM | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.929 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 02:14 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $2,239 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 01:14 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,263 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 01:13 AM | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.866 | $2,164 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 01:35 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $1,001 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 06:01 AM | Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $1,056 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 06:35 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.905 | $1,901 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 12:22 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.827 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 09:57 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $1,164 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 06:10 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,828 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:08 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:11 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.620 | $2,356 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 03:06 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.660 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.640 | $3,789 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:16 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.857 | $1,773 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:18 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.661 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.622 | $1,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 05:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.417 | $3,000 | —— |
| Jun 11, 05:38 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.172 | $2,565 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:38 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.690 | $2,968 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 09:46 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.210 | $1,781 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 10, 09:26 PM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | BUY YES | 0.624 | $1,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:22 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.850 | $1,445 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 08:33 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.190 | $1,512 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 08:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.968 | $1,512 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 07:21 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,504 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:18 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $1,504 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 07:02 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.813 | $4,230 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:01 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $4,230 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:36 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,104 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:16 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $1,380 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:59 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $3,542 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:55 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.770 | $3,511 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 04:31 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,947 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:30 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.167 | $2,944 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:19 AM | 0xa976dcc2 | BUY YES | 0.219 | $1,500 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 8, 06:14 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.850 | $1,513 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 11:53 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.172 | $3,034 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 11:50 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.820 | $3,034 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 11:12 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,202 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:45 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.674 | $1,201 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:30 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $6,462 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 05:22 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.760 | $2,061 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:42 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $3,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:16 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.700 | $3,460 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 01:33 PM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.936 | $1,558 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:33 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.760 | $2,046 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:53 AM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.930 | $2,046 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 04:47 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.753 | $3,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:04 PM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.733 | $4,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.710 | $1,500 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 11:09 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:09 AM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $3,530 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 05:33 PM | 0x366f8964 | BUY NO | 0.730 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 05:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $3,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:42 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.770 | $4,648 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 05:35 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $2,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:34 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $5,605 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:03 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $3,690 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:02 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.635 | $3,692 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 09:04 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 08:38 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.743 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 09:07 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.603 | $2,687 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 08:53 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.705 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 08:53 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.643 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 03:10 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.225 | $3,972 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 10:23 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.783 | $1,134 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 10:49 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.290 | $1,056 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 19, 10:48 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $1,056 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 07:36 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:35 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.280 | $2,500 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 18, 07:08 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.305 | $2,664 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 02:16 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $1,524 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 11:33 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,105 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 11:27 PM | 0x1db02ba5 | SELL NO | 0.952 | $1,104 | — (SELL) |