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wokerjoesleeper

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x63d4…a2f1 with our methodology badges per row.

0x63d43bbb87f85af03b8f2f9e2fad7b54334fa2f1·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
-6%
historical realized
Win rate
79.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$344.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 15 resolved trades · -6% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
22
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$402.0K
avg $18.3K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$382.8K / $19.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 22 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:39 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.591$1,005—
Jul 15, 03:43 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.953$23.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:50 PMWill Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?BUY YES0.300$1,138Cheap band — no rep
Jul 10, 06:20 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.850$21.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:02 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.790$105.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 09:10 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.247$6,283Cheap band — no rep
Jul 8, 09:08 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.249$39.2KCheap band — no rep
Jul 8, 01:43 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.810$19.3K— (SELL)
Jul 3, 02:06 AMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.910$63.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 02:23 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.800$1,009Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 01:37 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.770$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 12:38 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.750$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 10:05 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.975$19.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 10:05 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.975$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 11:49 PM0xaa145cf5BUY NO0.971$1,358Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:37 PM0xaa145cf5BUY NO0.974$13.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:35 PM0x5341e90bBUY NO0.975$4,961Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 08:34 PM0xaa145cf5BUY NO0.975$9,636Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 08:53 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.950$2,033Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 09:59 PM0xa1b91b95BUY NO0.994$23.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 09:48 AMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.520$3,793—
May 9, 08:36 AMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.810$5,307Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

11 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance9$243.0K+$204.5K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance1$63.7K+$63.7K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance2$29.3K+$29.3K
0xaa145cf5—3$24.2K+$24.2K
0xa1b91b95—1$23.6K+$23.6K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Other1$5,307+$5,307
0x5341e90b—1$4,961+$4,961
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Other1$3,793+$3,793
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other1$2,033+$2,033
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Other1$1,138+$1,138
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech1$1,005+$1,005