| Jul 18, 06:28 PM | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $6,293 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 08:03 PM | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,680 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 05:44 PM | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $1,160 | —— |
| Jul 7, 05:36 PM | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $2,075 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 10:45 AM | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.574 | $3,442 | —— |
| Jul 6, 10:58 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $9,069 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 10:43 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,903 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:23 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.798 | $5,447 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 09:18 PM | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $1,170 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 08:35 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $9,890 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 08:56 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.505 | $8,288 | —— |
| Jul 1, 08:56 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.468 | $1,472 | —— |
| Jun 30, 10:47 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,473 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 10:31 PM | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $2,487 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 08:59 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.887 | $1,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 01:15 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.996 | $3,850 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 10:07 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $3,746 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 08:31 AM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL YES | 0.570 | $16.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 03:56 PM | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $4,931 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 09:41 AM | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $2,350 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:26 PM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY YES | 0.647 | $13.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:26 PM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY YES | 0.658 | $11.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 08:18 AM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $3,050 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 03:46 PM | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $1,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 12:53 PM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY YES | 0.596 | $10.0K | —— |
| Jun 22, 05:40 AM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $13.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 05:39 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.993 | $2,262 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 08:44 PM | Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $1,661 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 08:41 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $2,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 08:38 PM | Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $1,080 | —— |
| Jun 21, 08:33 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | SELL YES | 0.290 | $1,450 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 08:26 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $1,140 | —— |
| Jun 21, 08:11 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,386 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:27 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $1,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:14 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $2,802 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 06:54 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 05:53 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.820 | $1,396 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 01:51 PM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY YES | 0.596 | $12.9K | —— |
| Jun 21, 01:37 PM | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $1,914 | —— |
| Jun 21, 01:02 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $7,294 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 09:31 AM | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $1,756 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 09:29 AM | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $3,879 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 05:35 PM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $11.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 05:34 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,515 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 07:14 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $1,933 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 04:57 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL NO | 0.350 | $1,401 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 04:46 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.730 | $2,190 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 04:18 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $1,618 | —— |
| Jun 12, 04:16 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.453 | $3,710 | —— |
| Jun 12, 03:51 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY NO | 0.699 | $1,025 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:06 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.166 | $1,829 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 02:51 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.084 | $1,252 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:50 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $2,622 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:50 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.805 | $31.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 02:12 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.390 | $3,024 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 01:29 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY NO | 0.739 | $2,120 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:20 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $2,300 | —— |
| Jun 12, 10:57 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $1,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 08:12 AM | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.501 | $1,439 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 12:32 AM | 0x876047c0 | SELL YES | 0.107 | $1,604 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 12:24 AM | 0x876047c0 | BUY YES | 0.141 | $1,828 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 12:02 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.340 | $1,370 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 11:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $1,222 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 11:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL YES | 0.200 | $2,128 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 11:07 PM | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.505 | $3,786 | —— |
| Jun 11, 11:02 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.603 | $2,234 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 10:56 PM | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.249 | $1,600 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 10:18 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.419 | $1,027 | —— |
| Jun 11, 09:56 PM | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.244 | $1,283 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 06:29 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.120 | $1,106 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 06:20 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.180 | $1,915 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:58 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $13.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:53 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.152 | $3,804 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:33 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $2,531 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:32 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.224 | $3,276 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:31 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY YES | 0.389 | $1,649 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:24 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.221 | $1,104 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 11, 05:24 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.613 | $4,561 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:15 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.042 | $1,039 | —— |
| Jun 11, 08:11 AM | 0x16608c4f | SELL NO | 0.840 | $4,360 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 04:57 AM | 0x16608c4f | SELL NO | 0.860 | $1,002 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 10:06 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.941 | $2,123 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 08:42 PM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.771 | $2,457 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 08:40 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.164 | $1,826 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 06:49 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $7,354 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 06:49 PM | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.899 | $2,927 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:30 PM | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,425 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:14 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.966 | $2,654 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 02:33 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.945 | $5,218 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 02:00 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $1,830 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:56 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.609 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:07 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.591 | $3,726 | —— |
| Jun 10, 12:00 AM | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL YES | 0.401 | $6,003 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 03:31 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.240 | $2,200 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 9, 01:19 PM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $3,226 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 12:20 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.217 | $3,753 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 8, 10:36 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL NO | 0.973 | $2,918 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 10:36 PM | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL YES | 0.424 | $1,035 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 08:22 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | SELL NO | 0.989 | $7,921 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 08:21 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL NO | 0.978 | $1,751 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 08:20 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.200 | $1,669 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 08:13 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | SELL NO | 0.995 | $1,285 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 08:13 PM | 0xac084d65 | SELL YES | 0.995 | $6,738 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 05:58 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.760 | $2,255 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 07:48 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL NO | 0.665 | $1,715 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 07:37 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.676 | $3,734 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 07:18 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.720 | $2,287 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 06:05 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL NO | 0.639 | $1,341 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:05 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.660 | $1,789 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 05:21 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $8,863 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 10:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $8,828 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $12.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $11.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:40 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL YES | 0.940 | $1,890 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 10:32 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL YES | 0.954 | $2,862 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 09:50 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.590 | $3,540 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 09:27 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.570 | $1,425 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 09:20 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.580 | $1,122 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 08:55 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.919 | $12.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:52 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL YES | 0.844 | $14.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 08:46 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.804 | $1,708 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:45 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.782 | $2,633 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:40 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.553 | $1,285 | —— |
| Jun 7, 08:37 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.545 | $1,524 | —— |
| Jun 7, 06:32 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.341 | $1,497 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 05:08 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.670 | $6,700 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 10:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.070 | $1,050 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 07:47 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $4,875 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 07:46 PM | 0xc8559283 | SELL NO | 0.995 | $1,990 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 07:05 AM | 0x9af5f845 | BUY YES | 0.498 | $4,979 | —— |
| Jun 4, 08:23 PM | 0xac084d65 | BUY YES | 0.660 | $2,147 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 06:42 AM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY NO | 0.660 | $4,115 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 06:32 AM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY NO | 0.628 | $1,933 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 09:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $16.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:17 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | SELL YES | 0.635 | $1,501 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 03:32 PM | 0xac084d65 | BUY NO | 0.640 | $3,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 03:28 PM | 0x0e2e5c01 | BUY YES | 0.640 | $6,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:06 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 11:10 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.310 | $1,512 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 11:09 PM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.720 | $7,324 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:23 PM | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.953 | $4,765 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:10 PM | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.960 | $7,809 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:09 PM | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $8,840 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 04:33 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $1,600 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 2, 04:23 PM | 0xfadb2390 | SELL YES | 0.998 | $3,200 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 04:22 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 03:21 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.824 | $3,881 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 02:57 PM | 0x50b747a9 | BUY YES | 0.930 | $1,506 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 11:22 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $24.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:06 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $1,061 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:34 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,075 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:23 PM | 0xfadb2390 | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,984 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:22 PM | 0xfadb2390 | BUY YES | 0.915 | $3,462 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:11 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? | BUY NO | 0.648 | $3,238 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:01 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $2,025 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:51 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $9,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $44.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:23 PM | 0xa8e8cdf6 | BUY YES | 0.991 | $1,187 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 04:51 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.439 | $1,196 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:54 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.268 | $3,466 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:22 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.184 | $1,836 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 11:38 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.885 | $6,639 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:31 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.768 | $2,204 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 05:22 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $4,288 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 07:13 PM | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | SELL YES | 0.993 | $14.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 06:15 PM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,005 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 06:14 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.985 | $5,242 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 06:12 PM | 0xbcacd5a0 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 05:49 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $8,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 04:59 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.983 | $2,825 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:20 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $7,502 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:16 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $2,580 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:15 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $4,482 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 02:59 PM | 0xde5ed16b | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 12:44 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.750 | $4,498 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:07 PM | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,407 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 11:53 AM | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.915 | $2,354 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 11:14 PM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,924 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 10:07 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $4,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:42 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.857 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:17 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $5,183 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:04 AM | 0x9a87a001 | BUY NO | 0.963 | $5,351 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 11:56 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.759 | $7,594 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 10:54 PM | 0x9a87a001 | BUY NO | 0.954 | $1,409 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 09:49 PM | 0xbeab8314 | BUY YES | 0.082 | $1,227 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 06:55 PM | 0x71c49500 | BUY NO | 0.930 | $4,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:41 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.490 | $1,933 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 06:39 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.575 | $11.5K | —— |
| May 29, 06:38 PM | 0xbeab8314 | SELL YES | 0.177 | $2,068 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 04:03 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.497 | $7,455 | —— |
| May 29, 03:47 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $4,284 | —— |
| May 29, 03:47 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.519 | $3,914 | —— |
| May 29, 03:46 PM | 0x366f8964 | SELL YES | 0.192 | $2,582 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.130 | $2,273 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:44 PM | 0xbeab8314 | SELL YES | 0.192 | $6,343 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:43 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.570 | $1,425 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:39 PM | 0xbeab8314 | SELL YES | 0.234 | $1,558 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:36 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $1,549 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:31 PM | 0xbeab8314 | SELL YES | 0.267 | $1,616 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:30 PM | 0xbeab8314 | SELL YES | 0.268 | $4,021 | — (SELL) |