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Crystiano
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5c3a…020b with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
24
lifetime
PnL per $
-18%
historical realized
Win rate
52.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$357.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 24 resolved trades · -18% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
101
Distinct markets
69
Volume (90d)
$1.19M
avg $11.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.03M / $157.2K
net direction
Recent trades
last 101 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 11:54 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.057 | $7,410 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 10:25 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.057 | $11.1K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 07:48 PM | Germany leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $12.6K | — |
| Jun 20, 07:00 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.044 | $5,262 | — |
| Jun 12, 06:24 PM | Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.460 | $14.6K | — |
| Jun 10, 07:43 PM | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $15.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:33 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $5,761 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 10:12 PM | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $24.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 09:21 PM | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $36.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:37 PM | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY NO | 0.662 | $1,772 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 12:22 AM | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24? | BUY YES | 0.320 | $1,572 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 24, 01:06 PM | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY YES | 0.260 | $7,843 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 15, 06:45 PM | Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $12.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 07:21 PM | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $14.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 07:13 PM | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $7,700 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 07:12 PM | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $57.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 12:57 AM | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09? | BUY NO | 0.510 | $6,401 | — |
| May 9, 01:35 PM | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY YES | 0.440 | $46.5K | — |
| May 7, 12:31 PM | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $2,215 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 4, 12:47 PM | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $1,126 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 08:02 PM | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $9,200 | — |
| May 3, 11:56 AM | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY YES | 0.340 | $1,382 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 28, 01:35 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.086 | $8,600 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 23, 06:25 PM | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs | SELL YES | 0.660 | $13.2K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 23, 06:22 PM | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs | BUY YES | 0.630 | $31.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 23, 12:44 AM | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY YES | 0.510 | $10.1K | — |
| Apr 21, 11:11 PM | Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | BUY | 0.530 | $4,278 | — |
| Apr 21, 10:45 PM | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 | BUY | 0.500 | $4,925 | — |
| Apr 21, 10:37 PM | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 | BUY | 0.500 | $24.6K | — |
| Apr 21, 10:37 PM | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 | BUY YES | 0.500 | $24.6K | — |
| Apr 21, 04:13 PM | Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina | BUY | 0.580 | $5,084 | — |
| Apr 21, 04:12 PM | Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina | BUY | 0.580 | $11.5K | — |
| Apr 21, 04:11 PM | Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina | BUY | 0.580 | $28.6K | — |
| Apr 21, 04:11 PM | Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina | BUY | 0.600 | $6,746 | — |
| Apr 21, 01:26 AM | 0xdbc5836d | SELL | 0.200 | $1,529 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 20, 10:35 PM | 0xdbc5836d | BUY | 0.310 | $15.2K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 20, 09:20 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.085 | $4,358 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 20, 04:31 PM | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.830 | $5,869 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 04:31 PM | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.820 | $2,600 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 06:32 PM | 0xee8ae51d | BUY YES | 0.520 | $4,199 | — |
| Apr 18, 12:42 PM | 0xe325a864 | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,078 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 11:41 AM | Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic | BUY | 0.370 | $10.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 18, 11:41 AM | Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic | BUY | 0.370 | $10.9K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 18, 11:04 AM | 0xd7feddd2 | BUY | 0.700 | $20.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 04:57 PM | 0xd816777b | BUY | 0.630 | $3,683 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 06:16 PM | 0xcc7dcc6c | BUY YES | 0.210 | $12.7K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 15, 04:39 PM | 0xba6ae00f | BUY | 0.880 | $3,789 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 03:28 PM | 0xaaa7899f | SELL | 0.840 | $23.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 12:51 PM | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.924 | $7,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 13, 11:14 AM | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $2,525 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 07:27 PM | 0x7a00c50e | BUY NO | 0.520 | $23.7K | — |
| Apr 12, 05:25 PM | 0x213cf960 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $18.1K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 05:12 PM | 0xcfd35c24 | BUY | 0.520 | $10.3K | — |
| Apr 12, 04:27 PM | 0x213cf960 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $28.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 04:00 PM | 0x213cf960 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $40.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 12:24 AM | 0x0214efd7 | SELL NO | 0.949 | $4,304 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 11, 05:19 PM | 0x0214efd7 | BUY NO | 0.949 | $6,453 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 05:12 PM | 0x6e8fdac8 | SELL | 0.460 | $4,600 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 11, 05:12 PM | 0x6e8fdac8 | SELL | 0.460 | $4,600 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 11, 04:28 PM | 0x4764be9d | BUY NO | 0.430 | $16.9K | — |
| Apr 11, 02:51 PM | 0x84f00093 | BUY | 0.180 | $7,023 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 11, 02:50 PM | 0x84f00093 | BUY | 0.180 | $8,779 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 11, 01:57 PM | 0xc76bc114 | BUY | 0.050 | $1,311 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 10, 10:55 PM | 0x6509c26f | BUY NO | 0.310 | $5,270 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 10, 06:11 PM | 0xffdbbf2c | BUY NO | 0.910 | $3,839 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 01:28 PM | 0x80f0ead3 | BUY NO | 0.520 | $4,032 | — |
| Apr 9, 12:42 PM | 0xffdbbf2c | BUY NO | 0.860 | $3,805 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 9, 12:37 PM | 0x83d43495 | SELL NO | 0.946 | $5,763 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 9, 12:11 PM | 0x0214efd7 | BUY NO | 0.968 | $4,715 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 11:27 PM | 0xb027884e | BUY NO | 0.976 | $24.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 05:54 PM | 0x1c16b60c | BUY YES | 0.530 | $26.1K | — |
| Apr 8, 02:39 AM | 0x1c16b60c | SELL NO | 0.450 | $4,500 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 6, 04:06 PM | 0x213cf960 | BUY NO | 0.953 | $89.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 04:02 PM | 0xffdbbf2c | BUY NO | 0.860 | $7,740 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 11:18 AM | 0xde16cdca | BUY | 0.750 | $27.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 11:25 PM | 0x45dd9141 | BUY | 0.550 | $6,279 | — |
| Apr 5, 11:25 PM | 0x45dd9141 | BUY | 0.530 | $7,956 | — |
| Apr 5, 11:20 PM | 0x45dd9141 | BUY | 0.520 | $1,881 | — |
| Apr 5, 04:33 PM | 0x243be998 | BUY NO | 0.170 | $3,306 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 4, 05:49 PM | 0xd4c16e04 | BUY YES | 0.710 | $31.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 4, 04:49 PM | 0x78eb0104 | BUY NO | 0.470 | $1,054 | — |
| Apr 4, 04:26 PM | 0xd4c16e04 | BUY YES | 0.700 | $7,850 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 07:53 PM | 0xa0e7f905 | BUY | 0.500 | $14.8K | — |
| Apr 1, 03:52 PM | 0x3e67882a | BUY | 0.550 | $13.9K | — |
| Mar 31, 10:41 PM | 0x9687a7d9 | BUY YES | 0.620 | $5,729 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 03:23 AM | 0x38292438 | BUY YES | 0.640 | $3,116 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 10:22 PM | 0x38292438 | SELL NO | 0.360 | $3,600 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 04:13 PM | 0x7876b15f | BUY NO | 0.924 | $12.4K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 01:14 AM | 0x58488d58 | BUY YES | 0.570 | $8,047 | — |
| Mar 29, 12:36 AM | 0xcdac8d6a | SELL NO | 0.490 | $1,053 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 11:57 PM | 0xcdac8d6a | BUY YES | 0.490 | $3,777 | — |
| Mar 27, 06:20 PM | 0xc173c138 | BUY YES | 0.480 | $2,510 | — |
| Mar 27, 06:17 PM | 0x84dd6c9a | BUY NO | 0.450 | $3,600 | — |
| Mar 27, 05:30 PM | 0xaf3458bd | BUY | 0.550 | $11.0K | — |
| Mar 27, 01:42 AM | 0xb3a9a9ec | BUY | 0.620 | $18.6K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 07:57 PM | 0x13efd3e6 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $2,284 | — |
| Mar 26, 07:51 PM | 0x13efd3e6 | BUY YES | 0.440 | $6,600 | — |
| Mar 26, 04:56 PM | 0x2886d061 | BUY YES | 0.680 | $4,760 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 26, 03:00 PM | 0x2886d061 | BUY YES | 0.690 | $6,571 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 25, 11:07 PM | 0x0cb93f6e | SELL | 0.470 | $3,538 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 23, 12:27 PM | 0x6da6c9ee | BUY | 0.370 | $14.2K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
69 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x213cf960 | — | 4 | $176.1K | +$2,308 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | Other | 3 | $80.4K | +$80.4K |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? | Other | 2 | $61.0K | +$61.0K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 | Tech | 3 | $54.2K | +$54.2K |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina | Other | 4 | $51.9K | +$51.9K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? | Other | 1 | $46.5K | +$46.5K |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs | Other | 2 | $44.4K | +$17.9K |
| 0xd4c16e04 | — | 2 | $39.8K | +$39.8K |
| 0x1c16b60c | — | 2 | $30.6K | +$21.6K |
| 0xde16cdca | — | 1 | $27.3K | +$27.3K |
| 0xb027884e | — | 1 | $24.1K | +$24.1K |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 3 | $23.8K | +$23.8K |
| 0x7a00c50e | — | 1 | $23.7K | +$23.7K |
| 0xaaa7899f | — | 1 | $23.6K | $-23,625 |
| Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic | Other | 2 | $21.8K | +$21.8K |
| 0xd7feddd2 | — | 1 | $20.8K | +$20.8K |
| 0xb3a9a9ec | — | 1 | $18.6K | +$18.6K |
| 0x4764be9d | — | 1 | $16.9K | +$16.9K |
| 0xdbc5836d | — | 2 | $16.7K | +$13.7K |
| 0x45dd9141 | — | 3 | $16.1K | +$16.1K |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Other | 1 | $15.8K | +$15.8K |
| 0x84f00093 | — | 2 | $15.8K | +$15.8K |
| 0x0214efd7 | — | 3 | $15.5K | +$6,864 |
| 0xffdbbf2c | — | 3 | $15.4K | +$15.4K |
| 0xa0e7f905 | — | 1 | $14.8K | +$14.8K |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Other | 1 | $14.6K | +$14.6K |
| 0x6da6c9ee | — | 1 | $14.2K | +$14.2K |
| 0x3e67882a | — | 1 | $13.9K | +$13.9K |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $13.0K | +$13.0K |
| 0xcc7dcc6c | — | 1 | $12.7K | +$12.7K |
Showing top 30 by volume.