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VARryKane

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5c3a…020b with our methodology badges per row.

0x5c3a1a602848565bb16165fcd460b00c3d43020b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
86
lifetime
PnL per $
+7%
historical realized
Win rate
61.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$2.73M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
110
Distinct markets
76
Volume (90d)
$3.42M
avg $31.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$3.35M / $67.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 110 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 08:13 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.207$8,300Conviction tier
Jul 19, 08:04 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.210$21.0KConviction tier
Jul 19, 10:47 AMExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY YES0.032$16.0K
Jul 18, 08:41 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.320$57.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:44 AMExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?BUY NO0.930$139.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:37 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.510$128.7K
Jul 14, 03:58 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.600$120.0K
Jul 11, 11:51 PMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.450$13.2K
Jul 11, 04:17 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.620$60.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 12:41 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.610$15.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 08:55 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.598$15.1K
Jul 9, 07:59 PMExact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?BUY YES0.035$2,800
Jul 9, 07:56 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.510$18.6K
Jul 9, 06:30 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$21.5K
Jul 9, 06:25 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$100.0K
Jul 9, 06:04 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$50.0K
Jul 9, 04:26 PMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.110$2,435Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 10:09 PMExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?BUY YES0.090$1,647Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 09:56 PMUnited States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.640$53.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 06:59 PMPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.600$42.0K
Jul 6, 06:34 PMPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.600$240.0K
Jul 6, 12:49 AMExact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?BUY YES0.090$1,163Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 05:11 PMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.610$64.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 04:24 PMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.610$91.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 01:56 PMMexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.490$13.3K
Jul 4, 10:03 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.720$11.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:37 PMExact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?SELL NO0.910$46.4K— (SELL)
Jul 4, 06:05 PMExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.200$6,000Conviction tier
Jul 4, 04:26 PMCanada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$45.6K
Jul 4, 03:15 PMCanada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$17.7K
Jul 3, 09:50 PMArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.320$8,378Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:25 PMArgentina leading at halftime?BUY YES0.680$58.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 09:22 PMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?BUY YES0.180$36.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 08:58 PMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?SELL NO0.820$4,705— (SELL)
Jul 3, 06:00 PMAustralia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$15.4K
Jul 3, 05:34 PMExact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?BUY YES0.140$2,981Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 02:11 PMExact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?SELL NO0.910$4,001— (SELL)
Jul 3, 01:10 PMAustralia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.450$42.2K
Jul 3, 02:33 AMSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.530$50.8K
Jul 2, 10:57 PMPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.580$51.8K
Jul 2, 10:26 PMPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.580$116.0K
Jul 2, 09:30 PMExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?SELL NO0.880$12.5K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 11:14 PMUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$15.0K
Jul 1, 07:45 PMBelgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.610$105.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:57 PMEngland leading at halftime?BUY YES0.540$10.0K
Jul 1, 03:45 PMEngland vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.350$5,184Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 11:42 PMExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?BUY YES0.160$3,261Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 11:42 PMExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?BUY YES0.160$2,332Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 04:54 PMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.590$9,456
Jun 30, 04:35 PMExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?BUY YES0.100$1,087Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 12:57 AMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.570$22.8K
Jun 30, 12:46 AMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.560$31.7K
Jun 30, 12:33 AMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.560$168.0K
Jun 29, 08:12 PMGermany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$1,371
Jun 29, 08:07 PMExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?BUY YES0.140$1,768Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 07:55 PMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.530$16.9K
Jun 29, 04:52 PMBrazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.500$4,000
Jun 29, 04:35 PMBrazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.510$91.9K
Jun 28, 06:38 PMJonathan David: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.350$3,212Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:37 PMSouth Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$37.6K
Jun 28, 05:17 PMSouth Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.460$2,284
Jun 27, 08:40 PMEngland leading at halftime?BUY YES0.680$4,651Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:28 PMColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.600$1,633
Jun 27, 04:56 PMColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.580$8,401
Jun 27, 04:30 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.270$1,651Conviction tier
Jun 27, 04:07 PMExact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?BUY YES0.240$7,043Conviction tier
Jun 27, 04:06 PMExact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?BUY YES0.230$1,811Conviction tier
Jun 26, 05:34 PMNorway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.570$16.3K
Jun 26, 04:51 PMNorway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.390$8,232Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 05:01 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.621$197.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 04:37 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.530$31.2K
Jun 25, 04:37 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.530$72.6K
Jun 24, 08:39 PMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.050$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 06:13 PMSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.540$74.4K
Jun 24, 01:59 AMColombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.440$8,800
Jun 24, 01:06 AMColombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.430$31.1K
Jun 23, 04:58 PMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY YES0.330$6,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 04:48 PMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY YES0.330$3,960Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 02:57 AMJordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.480$3,944
Jun 23, 02:55 AMJordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.480$14.4K
Jun 23, 02:45 AMJordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$55.3K
Jun 23, 02:04 AMJordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$9,790
Jun 22, 08:33 PMNorway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.570$1,287
Jun 22, 08:16 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.680$12.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:38 PMArgentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$11.1K
Jun 22, 04:34 PMArgentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.460$5,768
Jun 22, 03:09 PMArgentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$7,904
Jun 22, 03:03 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.680$75.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 12:21 AMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.160$44.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:21 AMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.160$20.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 11:50 PMNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$3,438
Jun 21, 11:50 PMNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.470$14.2K
Jun 20, 11:54 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.057$7,410Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 10:25 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.057$11.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:48 PMGermany leading at halftime?BUY YES0.520$12.6K
Jun 20, 07:00 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.044$5,262
Jun 12, 06:24 PMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.460$14.6K
Jun 10, 07:43 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?BUY YES0.730$15.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 12:33 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-09?BUY YES0.830$5,761Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 10:12 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-09?BUY YES0.610$24.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 09:21 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-09?BUY YES0.610$36.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 02:37 PM0x739e7561BUY NO0.662$1,772Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 12:22 AM0x114fddf6BUY YES0.320$1,572Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 01:06 PM0xc9b42d64BUY YES0.260$7,843Conviction tier
May 15, 06:45 PM0x1ce37fb7BUY NO0.720$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 07:21 PM0xc48a0ce9BUY YES0.770$14.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 07:13 PM0xc48a0ce9BUY YES0.770$7,700Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 07:12 PM0xc48a0ce9BUY YES0.770$57.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 12:57 AM0xdae6a4b5BUY NO0.510$6,401
May 9, 01:35 PM0xc906c2edBUY YES0.440$46.5K

Markets active in

76 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreTech2$282.0K+$282.0K
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreCrypto4$239.4K+$239.4K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Other1$197.4K+$197.4K
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreOther4$190.1K+$190.1K
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$167.8K+$167.8K
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$155.5K+$155.5K
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?Other1$139.5K+$139.5K
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$128.7K+$128.7K
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$120.0K+$120.0K
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$105.2K+$105.2K
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Other2$103.8K+$103.8K
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$95.9K+$95.9K
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreOther4$83.4K+$83.4K
0xc48a0ce93$80.4K+$80.4K
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$76.0K+$76.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Other1$75.4K+$75.4K
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$74.4K+$74.4K
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Other2$64.0K+$64.0K
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$63.3K+$63.3K
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?Other2$61.0K+$61.0K
Argentina leading at halftime?Other1$58.2K+$58.2K
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$57.6K+$57.6K
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$57.6K+$57.6K
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$53.1K+$53.1K
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$50.8K+$50.8K
0xc906c2ed1$46.5K+$46.5K
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?Other1$46.4K$-46,431
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$39.9K+$39.9K
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$39.9K+$39.9K
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?Other1$36.0K+$36.0K

Showing top 30 by volume.