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Bukaj0889

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5be7…1b1d with our methodology badges per row.

0x5be7f473b425c636f3cc716bbafc1b5a09b01b1d·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
35
lifetime
PnL per $
-4%
historical realized
Win rate
93.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$220.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 35 resolved trades · -4% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
41
Distinct markets
34
Volume (90d)
$240.4K
avg $5,862 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$228.2K / $12.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 41 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 03:05 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.933$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 03:03 PMIran leadership change by July 31?BUY NO0.969$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 03:00 PMIran leadership change by July 31?BUY NO0.964$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:47 AMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY NO0.960$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:44 AMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.990$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 06:28 AMExact Score: France 3 - 3 England?BUY NO0.980$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:10 AMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY NO0.950$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:08 AMExact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.991$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 02:44 PMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY NO0.930$7,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 10:19 AMWill annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?BUY NO0.980$1,800Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 10:17 AMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?BUY YES0.983$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:52 AMExact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?BUY NO0.987$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:55 PMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?BUY NO0.994$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:54 PMExact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?SELL NO0.999$10.2K— (SELL)
Jul 11, 07:25 AMExact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?BUY NO0.983$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:22 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?BUY NO0.987$2,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:26 AMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?BUY NO0.988$7,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:24 AMWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY NO0.884$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 09:27 AMExact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?BUY NO0.990$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:38 AMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.991$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:35 AMExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?BUY NO0.991$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:20 PMExact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?BUY NO0.981$8,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 10:13 AMExact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?BUY NO0.986$7,983Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:30 PMExact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?BUY NO0.980$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 05:57 PMExact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?BUY NO0.989$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 08:37 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.943$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:09 AMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY NO0.982$7,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 07:06 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?BUY NO0.991$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:41 PMIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?BUY NO0.989$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 08:34 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?BUY NO0.964$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:15 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?BUY NO0.971$2,800Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 08:19 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?BUY NO0.989$1,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 07:26 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?BUY NO0.990$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 02:34 PM0x366f8964SELL NO0.976$1,001— (SELL)
Jun 5, 08:42 AM0x366f8964SELL NO0.979$1,004— (SELL)
Jun 1, 03:19 PM0x40d85bb0BUY NO0.971$2,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:48 PMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.850$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:45 PMEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?BUY NO0.939$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:43 PMEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?BUY NO0.935$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:34 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.950$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 01:19 PMIran leadership change by June 30?BUY NO0.960$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

34 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?Other2$20.2K$-163
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?Tech1$15.0K+$15.0K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$13.0K+$13.0K
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?Other1$12.0K+$12.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance1$10.0K+$10.0K
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?Tech1$10.0K+$10.0K
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Iran leadership change by June 30?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?Tech2$9,400+$9,400
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?Other1$8,100+$8,100
Iran leadership change by July 31?Other2$8,000+$8,000
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?Tech1$7,983+$7,983
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Other1$7,000+$7,000
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics1$7,000+$7,000
0x366f8964—3$6,005+$1,995
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?Other1$6,000+$6,000
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?Other1$6,000+$6,000
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Tech2$5,000+$5,000
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Other2$4,000+$4,000
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Other1$3,000+$3,000
0x40d85bb0—1$2,900+$2,900
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?Tech1$2,800+$2,800
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?Sports1$2,000+$2,000
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Tech1$2,000+$2,000

Showing top 30 by volume.