| Jul 20, 03:28 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.942 | $2,826 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 20, 11:45 AM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.942 | $9,420 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 06:50 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.070 | $3,500 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 06:46 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.070 | $1,400 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 06:41 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.070 | $1,400 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 01:58 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.080 | $5,053 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 01:58 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.920 | $8,907 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 10:52 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $4,750 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 10:41 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $1,900 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 09:25 PM | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $1,109 | —— |
| Jul 18, 08:12 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.440 | $11.0K | —— |
| Jul 18, 08:09 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.440 | $4,400 | —— |
| Jul 18, 07:58 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.439 | $8,545 | —— |
| Jul 18, 07:28 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.439 | $4,390 | —— |
| Jul 18, 05:40 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.438 | $1,533 | —— |
| Jul 18, 04:21 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.430 | $2,444 | —— |
| Jul 18, 03:25 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.429 | $1,333 | —— |
| Jul 18, 03:20 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.429 | $2,458 | —— |
| Jul 18, 03:11 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.428 | $8,513 | —— |
| Jul 18, 08:30 AM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.425 | $10.9K | —— |
| Jul 18, 12:23 AM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.420 | $8,881 | —— |
| Jul 17, 10:30 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.580 | $3,144 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 09:32 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.580 | $7,964 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 07:10 AM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.399 | $9,157 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 16, 04:19 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.370 | $2,812 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 16, 06:42 AM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.359 | $5,385 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 09:19 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.687 | $1,374 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 12:58 PM | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 15? | SELL YES | 0.590 | $1,416 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 07:25 PM | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL NO | 0.542 | $1,485 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 07:14 PM | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL NO | 0.750 | $1,145 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 06:40 PM | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL NO | 0.549 | $1,054 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 06:33 PM | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL NO | 0.771 | $1,541 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 04:08 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.202 | $2,021 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 12:18 AM | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | BUY NO | 0.060 | $1,113 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 26, 12:18 AM | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26? | SELL YES | 0.201 | $1,333 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 05:41 PM | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26? | BUY YES | 0.330 | $1,699 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 25, 05:35 PM | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26? | BUY YES | 0.324 | $3,259 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 25, 02:15 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 25? | BUY YES | 0.335 | $1,012 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 25, 01:54 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 25? | BUY YES | 0.341 | $1,148 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 25, 01:53 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 25? | BUY YES | 0.306 | $1,028 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 25, 01:12 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 25? | BUY YES | 0.410 | $1,378 | —— |
| Jun 24, 06:15 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 24? | SELL YES | 0.580 | $1,885 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 24, 05:20 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 24? | BUY YES | 0.689 | $2,239 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 04:37 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 24? | BUY YES | 0.476 | $1,609 | —— |
| Jun 24, 04:14 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 24? | SELL YES | 0.450 | $1,512 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 23, 09:55 PM | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | SELL NO | 0.809 | $1,618 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 23, 08:41 PM | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY NO | 0.290 | $1,450 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 23, 06:21 AM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 23? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $1,579 | —— |
| Jun 22, 03:52 PM | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL YES | 0.570 | $1,431 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 10:22 PM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 21? | BUY YES | 0.390 | $1,310 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 11, 05:44 PM | Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? | SELL YES | 0.360 | $1,123 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:42 PM | Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? | SELL YES | 0.410 | $1,382 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:30 PM | Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? | BUY YES | 0.195 | $1,263 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 9, 10:39 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL NO | 0.905 | $3,585 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:26 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.164 | $1,179 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 10:40 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.119 | $2,592 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 12:31 PM | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8? | BUY YES | 0.335 | $1,674 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 8, 11:47 AM | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8? | SELL YES | 0.268 | $1,143 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 01:57 PM | 0x08c64b03 | BUY YES | 0.333 | $1,119 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 5, 05:59 AM | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 1-7? | BUY YES | 0.381 | $1,143 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 07:38 PM | 0xb9df87b5 | SELL YES | 0.480 | $1,440 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:46 PM | 0xb9df87b5 | BUY YES | 0.410 | $1,378 | —— |
| Jun 2, 02:39 PM | 0xae07effd | BUY YES | 0.359 | $1,079 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 11:22 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL YES | 0.181 | $6,063 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 02:51 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.740 | $7,400 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 09:13 PM | 0xe3d28d18 | BUY YES | 0.460 | $1,380 | —— |