timetowander

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x58b3…653c with our methodology badges per row.

0x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+0%

historical realized

Win rate

72.0%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$215.1K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 71 resolved trades · 0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

137

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$404.2K

avg $2,950 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$294.3K / $109.9K

net direction

Recent trades

last 137 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 11, 05:44 PM	Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11?	SELL YES	0.360	$1,123	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:42 PM	Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11?	SELL YES	0.410	$1,382	— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:30 PM	Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11?	BUY YES	0.195	$1,263	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 9, 10:39 PM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.905	$3,585	— (SELL)
Jun 9, 01:26 AM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.164	$1,179	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 10:40 PM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.119	$2,592	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 12:31 PM	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?	BUY YES	0.335	$1,674	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 11:47 AM	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?	SELL YES	0.268	$1,143	— (SELL)
Jun 5, 01:57 PM	Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 5?	BUY YES	0.333	$1,119	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 5, 05:59 AM	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 1-7?	BUY YES	0.381	$1,143	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 07:38 PM	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on June 3?	SELL YES	0.480	$1,440	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 05:46 PM	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on June 3?	BUY YES	0.410	$1,378	—
Jun 2, 02:39 PM	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on June 2?	BUY YES	0.359	$1,079	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 29, 11:22 AM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.181	$6,063	— (SELL)
May 27, 02:51 AM	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.740	$7,400	— (SELL)
May 10, 09:13 PM	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 10?	BUY YES	0.460	$1,380	—
Apr 28, 01:50 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.360	$1,980	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 16, 09:00 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.350	$1,400	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 08:39 PM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.219	$1,007	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 16, 08:39 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.350	$1,400	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 08:18 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.350	$1,050	— (SELL)
Apr 16, 08:00 AM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.180	$1,991	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 16, 12:32 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.360	$1,080	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 16, 12:14 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.360	$1,080	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 11:51 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.360	$1,994	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 05:05 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.630	$1,346	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 02:50 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.640	$1,188	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 02:36 PM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,343	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 07:11 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.350	$4,900	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 07:10 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.650	$3,500	— (SELL)
Apr 15, 06:37 AM	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.930	$6,459	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 06:25 AM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY NO	0.350	$1,730	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 04:46 AM	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	BUY YES	0.267	$2,202	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 13, 10:20 PM	0x85f0764c	SELL YES	0.991	$2,595	— (SELL)
Apr 13, 01:14 AM	0x6b903a66	BUY NO	0.890	$1,181	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:41 PM	0x6b903a66	BUY NO	0.949	$6,187	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 08:35 PM	1795362	BUY NO	0.499	$1,498	—
Apr 12, 08:32 PM	1795362	BUY NO	0.488	$3,384	—
Apr 12, 07:21 PM	0x829f02bf	BUY YES	0.550	$2,167	—
Apr 12, 06:27 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	SELL YES	0.080	$1,283	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 03:57 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.170	$1,700	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 03:54 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.170	$1,381	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 03:48 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.170	$1,454	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 03:38 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.840	$2,606	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:28 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.160	$1,242	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 03:24 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.160	$1,600	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 03:02 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,787	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 02:36 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.150	$1,234	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 02:32 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.150	$1,500	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 01:43 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.840	$2,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 11:01 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.790	$1,464	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:44 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	SELL YES	0.270	$3,508	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 03:36 AM	0xa312499c	BUY NO	0.760	$3,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:26 PM	0xfcde02af	BUY NO	0.260	$1,300	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 09:32 PM	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL YES	0.310	$1,125	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:31 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.300	$1,500	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 09:30 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.300	$1,500	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 09:23 PM	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.820	$1,230	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 08:09 PM	0xa312499c	SELL NO	0.730	$1,275	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 07:57 PM	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.820	$1,230	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 06:04 PM	0xa312499c	BUY NO	0.750	$9,014	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 06:03 PM	0xa312499c	BUY NO	0.740	$5,414	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 05:03 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.290	$5,800	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 03:01 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.290	$1,450	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 03:01 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.290	$1,450	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 01:50 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.720	$1,512	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:33 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.280	$1,361	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 12:31 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.280	$1,400	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 12:21 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.730	$1,583	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:10 PM	0xfcde02af	BUY NO	0.250	$1,250	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 11, 03:28 AM	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	SELL NO	0.830	$1,660	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 02:28 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,562	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 02:13 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$2,698	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:53 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$6,390	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 01:27 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 10:28 PM	0xfcde02af	BUY NO	0.240	$1,200	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 09:46 PM	0xfcde02af	BUY NO	0.240	$1,200	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 07:47 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,036	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 07:29 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,650	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 07:07 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,381	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 06:53 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$7,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 05:23 PM	0xfcde02af	BUY NO	0.240	$1,200	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 04:37 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.290	$2,779	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 04:36 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.290	$2,030	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 02:05 PM	0xa312499c	BUY NO	0.770	$4,557	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:51 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY NO	0.290	$1,315	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 01:43 PM	0xfcde02af	BUY NO	0.240	$1,200	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 10, 06:39 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$19.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 05:38 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$7,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 05:26 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$14.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 04:39 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$6,248	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 04:32 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$5,680	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 03:56 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$2,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 03:50 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$2,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 03:02 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$3,986	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 02:46 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,420	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 02:29 AM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,349	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 10:54 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.700	$1,330	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 09:14 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$4,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 08:33 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$2,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 08:23 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$3,195	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 07:57 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.710	$6,035	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 07:30 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	BUY NO	0.700	$5,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 05:02 PM	0xddbfffed	SELL YES	0.911	$2,713	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 10:07 PM	0x30bd1193	BUY	0.419	$3,294	—
Apr 3, 08:49 PM	0x5c9ff54e	SELL	0.386	$2,443	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 08:25 PM	0x5c9ff54e	BUY	0.386	$1,171	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 3, 08:18 PM	0x5c9ff54e	BUY	0.247	$1,210	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 3, 03:27 PM	0x03afad24	SELL	0.219	$1,079	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 02:01 PM	0x03afad24	BUY	0.590	$3,030	—
Apr 2, 03:23 AM	Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?	BUY YES	0.250	$1,095	Cheap band — no rep
Apr 2, 03:07 AM	0xddbfffed	BUY YES	0.530	$4,758	—
Apr 1, 07:01 PM	0x46a01959	SELL	0.690	$6,964	— (SELL)
Apr 1, 07:00 PM	0x46a01959	BUY	0.309	$4,846	Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 1, 01:15 PM	0x29c1082b	BUY	0.870	$2,071	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 31, 05:12 PM	0xd8288a85	SELL	0.999	$4,332	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 03:18 PM	0xd8288a85	BUY	0.580	$1,086	—
Mar 31, 12:34 PM	0x306d10d4	SELL NO	0.978	$1,626	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 11:45 AM	0x306d10d4	SELL NO	0.977	$1,828	— (SELL)
Mar 31, 11:17 AM	0x306d10d4	SELL NO	0.978	$2,750	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 09:39 PM	0x306d10d4	SELL NO	0.950	$3,457	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 08:01 PM	0x306d10d4	SELL NO	0.945	$8,830	— (SELL)
Mar 30, 09:46 AM	0x773abaa5	SELL NO	0.820	$6,941	— (SELL)
Mar 28, 09:36 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.900	$4,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:36 PM	0x773abaa5	BUY NO	0.795	$7,947	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 11:14 PM	0x975268bb	SELL	0.700	$1,435	— (SELL)
Mar 26, 10:24 PM	0x975268bb	BUY	0.730	$1,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 26, 10:23 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.870	$13.3K	— (SELL)
Mar 26, 10:23 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.750	$3,715	— (SELL)
Mar 26, 01:32 AM	0x47ed95a4	SELL	0.460	$1,380	— (SELL)
Mar 25, 12:01 PM	US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY NO	0.810	$1,620	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 24, 02:03 PM	0xc5300759	BUY NO	0.570	$2,850	—
Mar 24, 11:13 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.860	$4,484	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 04:46 PM	0xc5300759	BUY NO	0.599	$1,174	—
Mar 23, 11:32 AM	0xc5300759	BUY NO	0.638	$1,913	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 11:26 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BUY NO	0.870	$2,001	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 23, 07:44 AM	0xab6b901b	SELL YES	0.811	$1,175	— (SELL)

Markets active in

37 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Other	32	$135.2K	+$125.6K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Other	17	$30.7K	+$30.7K
0xa312499c	—	5	$24.1K	+$21.5K
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	13	$23.8K	+$1,756
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	8	$20.0K	+$667
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Other	3	$19.8K	$-6,824
0x306d10d4	—	5	$18.5K	$-18,490
0x773abaa5	—	2	$14.9K	+$1,005
0x46a01959	—	2	$11.8K	$-2,118
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	4	$10.6K	+$2,339
0xddbfffed	—	2	$7,471	+$2,045
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Other	1	$7,400	$-7,400
0x6b903a66	—	2	$7,367	+$7,367
0xfcde02af	—	6	$7,350	+$7,350
0xc5300759	—	3	$5,938	+$5,938
0xd8288a85	—	2	$5,417	$-3,246
1795362	—	2	$4,882	+$4,882
0x5c9ff54e	—	3	$4,823	$-63
0x4c5701bc	—	1	$4,500	+$4,500
0x03afad24	—	2	$4,109	+$1,952
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11?	Crypto	3	$3,768	$-1,242
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	1	$3,715	$-3,715
0x30bd1193	—	1	$3,294	+$3,294
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on June 3?	Crypto	2	$2,818	$-62
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?	Crypto	2	$2,817	+$531
0x85f0764c	—	1	$2,595	$-2,595
0x975268bb	—	2	$2,435	$-435
0x829f02bf	—	1	$2,167	+$2,167
0x29c1082b	—	1	$2,071	+$2,071
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Other	1	$1,620	+$1,620

Showing top 30 by volume.