| Jul 10, 01:34 AM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.807 | $3,228 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 12:55 AM | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.557 | $3,836 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 12:54 AM | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.570 | $1,356 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 12:54 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $36.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 10, 12:52 AM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.830 | $1,408 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 07:55 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.479 | $1,048 | —— |
| Jun 13, 07:38 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $20.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 07:19 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.526 | $3,679 | —— |
| Jun 12, 11:12 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $1,350 | —— |
| Jun 12, 09:30 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.418 | $1,254 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:27 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.718 | $1,136 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:24 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.459 | $2,715 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 09:22 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.480 | $2,664 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 04:54 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.523 | $1,911 | —— |
| Jun 12, 04:10 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $7,125 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 12:44 AM | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $2,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:52 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.977 | $9,770 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 10:10 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $5,775 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 08:18 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.860 | $6,098 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 06:05 AM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $1,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 07:12 PM | 0x4ba91a9a | BUY YES | 0.756 | $1,890 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 07:52 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $5,880 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:32 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $4,915 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:10 AM | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $1,695 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 05:00 AM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $2,292 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 04:58 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $3,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:56 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $14.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 12:31 AM | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL NO | 0.190 | $1,900 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 12:46 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $9,400 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 12:25 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $4,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:11 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $4,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:03 PM | 0xe3033b16 | BUY NO | 0.540 | $3,780 | —— |
| May 17, 05:00 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $4,750 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 11:34 AM | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.203 | $1,289 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 11:33 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.511 | $2,045 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 11:32 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.531 | $3,186 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 09:27 PM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.656 | $7,868 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 09:26 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $2,850 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 09:25 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $7,125 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 06:22 AM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $4,184 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 06:18 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $1,395 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 01:55 AM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $3,207 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 03:26 AM | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY NO | 0.220 | $2,200 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 10, 02:54 AM | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.580 | $1,739 | —— |
| May 10, 01:31 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $6,650 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 01:14 AM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $2,226 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 01:10 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $2,667 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 10:42 AM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,576 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 01:36 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.350 | $1,216 | — (SELL) |