moneymakinmachine

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x56d8…1cce with our methodology badges per row.

0x56d8d5f6585716a1a900282192dd21a4261e1cce·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

237

lifetime

PnL per $

-18%

historical realized

Win rate

55.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$737.0K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 237 resolved trades · -18% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$636.8K

avg $3,184 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$345.7K / $291.2K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 10:01 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.990	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:21 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	SELL YES	0.999	$41.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:15 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.984	$4,969	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:15 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.990	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:15 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.990	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:15 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.971	$4,903	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:15 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.990	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:06 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.740	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:55 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	SELL NO	0.500	$1,223	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:55 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.500	$2,500	—
Jul 19, 08:51 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	SELL NO	0.529	$1,185	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:10 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.963	$3,731	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:17 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.670	$2,614	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:14 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.620	$1,306	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:13 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.650	$1,048	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:13 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.630	$1,402	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.650	$1,405	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.670	$2,955	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.670	$10,000	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:07 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	SELL NO	0.630	$2,708	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:59 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.944	$1,137	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:56 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.110	$1,989	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.628	$3,604	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:51 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.240	$1,222	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 08:55 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	SELL YES	0.780	$2,267	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:01 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.998	$12.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:00 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.994	$3,961	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.356	$1,873	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:52 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.357	$1,642	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:51 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.365	$1,293	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:01 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.998	$15.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:01 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.981	$4,941	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:01 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.993	$3,563	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:01 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.976	$4,918	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:46 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.438	$2,500	—
Jul 11, 09:46 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.557	$2,438	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 09:07 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.500	$2,343	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:58 PM	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.963	$2,298	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:55 PM	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.920	$1,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:42 PM	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.540	$3,234	—
Jul 10, 08:40 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	SELL YES	0.378	$2,725	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:40 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	SELL YES	0.383	$1,072	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:39 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.407	$1,706	—
Jul 10, 08:20 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?	SELL NO	0.740	$1,701	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:14 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	SELL YES	0.527	$1,187	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:13 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.517	$1,164	—
Jul 10, 07:47 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	SELL YES	0.578	$3,087	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 07:45 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.410	$1,084	—
Jul 10, 07:42 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.422	$2,348	—
Jul 10, 07:36 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	SELL NO	0.187	$2,642	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 07:05 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.380	$1,617	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:02 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?	BUY NO	0.930	$3,777	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 10:00 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	BUY YES	0.987	$2,492	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 10:00 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	BUY YES	0.970	$2,474	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 10:00 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	SELL YES	0.970	$2,017	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:58 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	BUY YES	0.870	$1,674	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:26 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	BUY YES	0.845	$4,971	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:18 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	SELL NO	0.441	$1,129	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:17 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.429	$1,381	—
Jul 9, 09:15 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.420	$1,878	—
Jul 9, 09:12 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.396	$1,459	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 08:28 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	SELL YES	0.790	$1,428	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 08:24 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.380	$1,670	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 08:18 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	SELL NO	0.370	$1,534	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 08:15 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.369	$4,398	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 08:30 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	SELL NO	0.610	$1,004	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 08:29 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.610	$1,598	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:27 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	SELL NO	0.600	$2,291	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 08:20 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	SELL NO	0.600	$2,146	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 08:15 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.590	$7,195	—
Jul 7, 06:05 PM	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	BUY YES	0.988	$4,991	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 06:05 PM	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	BUY YES	0.974	$4,921	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:24 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	SELL YES	0.260	$1,347	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 01:56 AM	Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?	SELL YES	0.870	$1,740	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 01:54 AM	Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?	BUY YES	0.799	$1,973	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:52 AM	Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,299	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:36 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	SELL YES	0.950	$10.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 01:14 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.670	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:14 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.660	$1,827	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:13 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	SELL YES	0.660	$3,268	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 01:13 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.660	$3,217	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:36 AM	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	SELL NO	0.500	$1,678	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 12:10 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.820	$3,074	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 12:05 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.630	$2,119	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:04 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.630	$3,070	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 11:14 PM	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	SELL NO	0.860	$1,083	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 09:01 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.990	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:01 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.990	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:01 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.990	$4,998	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:57 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.950	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:57 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.950	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:57 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.940	$2,421	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:50 PM	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	BUY YES	0.720	$1,440	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:39 PM	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	BUY YES	0.460	$1,496	—
Jul 6, 08:13 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.610	$3,414	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.410	$2,500	—
Jul 6, 08:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.590	$2,500	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.590	$1,767	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.590	$2,500	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:11 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.600	$3,750	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:10 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.600	$3,750	—
Jul 6, 07:42 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.560	$4,200	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 07:39 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.560	$1,402	—
Jul 6, 07:39 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.560	$1,192	—
Jul 6, 07:39 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.540	$1,017	—
Jul 6, 07:32 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.530	$4,967	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 07:09 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	SELL NO	0.540	$1,807	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 07:08 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.540	$5,870	—
Jul 6, 03:03 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.940	$1,016	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:55 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.730	$2,673	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:55 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.710	$2,859	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:54 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.730	$2,127	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:54 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.710	$2,918	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:51 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.700	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:50 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.650	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:48 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,265	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:47 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.650	$1,346	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:46 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.630	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:46 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.630	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:43 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.560	$5,000	—
Jul 6, 02:26 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL NO	0.180	$1,168	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:24 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.810	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:22 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.800	$6,689	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:22 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.800	$1,250	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:22 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.800	$1,250	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:22 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.800	$1,250	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:22 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.820	$1,230	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:22 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.810	$1,297	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:19 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL NO	0.560	$5,811	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:18 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL NO	0.570	$2,005	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:13 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.660	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:13 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.640	$1,355	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:12 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.620	$1,790	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:04 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL NO	0.410	$3,534	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:50 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.570	$3,030	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:50 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.570	$3,013	—
Jul 6, 01:47 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.410	$3,475	—
Jul 6, 01:43 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.610	$1,651	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:42 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL NO	0.350	$1,822	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:37 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.630	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:18 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.650	$3,321	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:07 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.370	$1,744	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:03 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.985	$4,976	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:03 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.981	$4,913	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:02 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	BUY NO	0.970	$3,996	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:00 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	SELL NO	0.499	$1,084	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 09:51 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.750	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:50 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.730	$1,922	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 09:45 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.650	$1,346	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 09:45 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.640	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:45 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.640	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:45 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.640	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:42 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.610	$1,325	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:42 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.610	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:42 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.610	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:42 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.610	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:10 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.500	$1,043	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 10:52 PM	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	SELL YES	0.650	$1,420	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 10:35 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.930	$2,363	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:14 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL NO	0.330	$2,515	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 10:12 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.290	$1,266	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 10:10 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.710	$4,919	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 09:36 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.780	$1,058	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 09:34 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.780	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:31 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.790	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:31 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.790	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:14 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.820	$1,098	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 09:14 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.820	$1,098	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 09:14 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.820	$1,098	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 09:14 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.820	$1,098	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 09:12 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.810	$1,385	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 06:44 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.760	$3,514	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 06:43 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.760	$2,615	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:41 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	SELL YES	0.690	$2,204	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 06:39 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.494	$4,047	—
Jul 4, 06:16 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.680	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 02:52 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.850	$5,113	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:18 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.840	$1,473	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 01:44 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.640	$1,284	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 01:42 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.630	$6,929	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 01:40 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.650	$1,493	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:38 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.360	$1,068	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 12:04 AM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.999	$11.4K	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 11:59 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.980	$4,949	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:59 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.978	$4,938	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:59 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.985	$1,330	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:55 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.564	$1,957	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 11:07 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.050	$2,172	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 07:55 PM	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.835	$2,373	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:09 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	SELL NO	0.330	$2,316	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 07:09 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.660	$1,329	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:57 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.340	$1,377	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 06:30 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.660	$3,502	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 04:22 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	SELL YES	0.940	$1,973	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 01:05 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	SELL YES	0.990	$2,000	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 01:05 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.988	$1,995	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:44 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.758	$4,674	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:35 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	SELL NO	0.660	$1,234	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:34 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.644	$1,171	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:33 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	SELL YES	0.380	$1,722	— (SELL)

Markets active in

40 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Other	34	$100.9K	+$30.9K
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Tech	10	$73.6K	$-13,829
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Tech	20	$68.1K	+$18.2K
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Other	12	$34.5K	+$27.9K
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Other	13	$32.9K	+$4,361
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Other	4	$29.3K	$-2,423
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Other	5	$24.6K	$-2,179
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	8	$23.4K	$-12,794
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Other	5	$23.4K	$-3,330
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Other	5	$21.1K	$-13,154
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Other	9	$19.8K	+$11.7K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Tech	10	$18.6K	$-2,794
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Other	5	$17.4K	+$5,944
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Other	6	$17.4K	$-14,373
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Other	5	$14.2K	+$3,352
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Other	6	$12.8K	+$2,884
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	1	$10.0K	+$10.0K
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	Other	2	$9,913	+$9,913
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Other	4	$8,658	+$4,623
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Other	4	$8,524	$-3,112
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Other	3	$8,263	$-4,025
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Other	3	$6,815	+$2,837
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Tech	3	$6,683	+$2,086
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	Other	2	$5,080	+$2,912
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?	Other	3	$5,012	+$1,532
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Other	2	$4,938	+$62
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?	Tech	1	$3,777	+$3,777
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	1	$3,731	$-3,731
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Tech	2	$2,936	+$2,936
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Other	2	$2,760	$-2,760

Showing top 30 by volume.