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lontou

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x5682…97af with our methodology badges per row.

0x568251a921b5f76d17991310425e66dd450597af·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
-9%
historical realized
Win rate
65.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$118.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · -9% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
27
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$170.9K
avg $6,329 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$107.8K / $63.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 27 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:46 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.911$15.0K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:23 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.695$9,035Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 03:14 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.580$11.6K
Jul 14, 08:26 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.959$13.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 08:13 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.389$1,945Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 08:13 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.389$3,890Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 08:09 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.389$2,918Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 05:41 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.372$20.2K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 07:05 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.333$8,324Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:02 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.328$8,096Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 08:02 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.186$17.7K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:53 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.823$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:52 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.810$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:23 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.540$1,080
Jun 10, 01:51 PMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?SELL YES0.990$1,812— (SELL)
Jun 10, 01:16 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?SELL YES0.993$1,382— (SELL)
Jun 10, 01:15 PMWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?SELL NO0.958$5,488— (SELL)
Jun 10, 01:15 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?SELL YES0.790$1,580— (SELL)
Jun 4, 08:55 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY YES0.910$1,820Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 08:52 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY YES0.750$1,780Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 09:51 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY YES0.980$2,463Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 07:07 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY YES0.977$21.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 09:50 AM0x5072d0bfBUY YES0.930$2,878Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 09:49 AMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY YES0.960$1,622Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 03:19 PMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY YES0.950$4,750Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 03:19 PMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY YES0.940$1,107Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 03:17 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY YES0.950$4,531Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume