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Yirmeyahu

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x55f3…cada with our methodology badges per row.

0x55f35253852930ef05a1a3f8dcd0007f6b0acada·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
18
lifetime
PnL per $
-53%
historical realized
Win rate
39.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$61.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 18 resolved trades · -53% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
31
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$99.5K
avg $3,210 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$55.5K / $44.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 31 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 4, 10:59 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.960$1,920Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:52 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.820$1,066Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 07:23 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.830$1,079Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 03:50 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.840$1,680Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:57 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.885$2,542Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 05:50 AMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?SELL YES0.710$1,775— (SELL)
Jun 29, 08:03 PMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.720$1,800Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 08:01 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.780$1,014Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 03:45 PMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?SELL NO0.998$5,152— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:29 AMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL NO0.993$12.1K— (SELL)
Jun 28, 12:04 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.999$3,191— (SELL)
Jun 21, 06:13 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.961$4,764Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 05:16 AMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.820$4,937Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 05:15 AMWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL YES0.680$5,042— (SELL)
Jun 4, 02:33 AMWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY YES0.690$1,144Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 02:33 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL NO0.975$1,160— (SELL)
May 27, 01:14 PMWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY YES0.720$1,589Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 05:02 PM0x99a0fdc1BUY YES0.950$1,772Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 05:01 PM0x789c947aSELL NO0.994$1,775— (SELL)
May 22, 04:56 PM0x99a0fdc1BUY YES0.950$1,987Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:44 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.810$1,274Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:24 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.818$1,926Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:09 AMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.810$1,022Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:03 AMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.810$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 09:57 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.764$1,639Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 08:15 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.750$3,244Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:19 AMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.800$1,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 05:52 AM0x6cf5831fBUY YES0.860$1,115Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 05:36 AMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.800$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 06:26 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.790$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 09:02 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL NO0.703$13.8K— (SELL)

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics6$34.0K$-17,812
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics6$24.0K+$24.0K
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics3$7,775$-2,310
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Other4$5,745+$5,745
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Other1$5,152$-5,152
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$4,764+$4,764
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other2$4,351$-4,351
0x99a0fdc12$3,759+$3,759
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Other2$3,575+$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Tech1$2,542+$2,542
0x789c947a1$1,775$-1,775
0x6cf5831f1$1,115+$1,115
Will France win on 2026-06-30?Other1$1,014+$1,014