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geekoflemon
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x556c…c288 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-65%
historical realized
Win rate
20.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$32.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -65% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
8
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$47.2K
avg $5,896 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$16.0K / $31.2K
net direction
Recent trades
last 8 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:46 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $19.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 06:03 AM | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.119 | $3,009 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 20, 03:48 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.547 | $4,006 | — |
| May 15, 06:47 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY YES | 0.379 | $1,903 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 15, 06:47 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY YES | 0.380 | $2,097 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 13, 01:30 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.280 | $9,341 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 01:30 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL YES | 0.370 | $2,516 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 11:57 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.220 | $4,999 | Cheap band — no rep |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 1 | $19.3K | $-19,301 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 2 | $14.3K | $-4,342 |
| 0xb7dd41c1 | — | 3 | $6,516 | +$1,484 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Tech | 1 | $4,006 | +$4,006 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | 1 | $3,009 | +$3,009 |