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0x52e3dDefd4D851aDF4c181bFe496dD99d66782D2-1774177146439
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x52e3…82d2 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-82%
historical realized
Win rate
17.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$42.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -82% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
9
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$76.7K
avg $8,526 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$30.8K / $45.9K
net direction
Recent trades
last 9 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 12:49 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | BUY NO | 0.848 | $2,648 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:48 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $4,765 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:47 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $8,918 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:06 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $6,153 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:59 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.834 | $10.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 03:24 PM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY NO | 0.883 | $1,025 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 03:17 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $27.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 11:14 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $7,306 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 11:11 AM | 0xcddc048c | SELL NO | 0.987 | $7,614 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Other | 2 | $35.1K | $-20,445 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Tech | 3 | $16.1K | +$16.1K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Other | 1 | $10.6K | $-10,556 |
| 0xcddc048c | — | 1 | $7,614 | $-7,614 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | Tech | 1 | $4,765 | +$4,765 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Tech | 1 | $2,648 | +$2,648 |