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qiqimao

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x51ea…150f with our methodology badges per row.

0x51eafaca6a086a50c4ef49d4af23ddfb7bd2150f·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
91
lifetime
PnL per $
-25%
historical realized
Win rate
41.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$800.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 91 resolved trades · -25% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
108
Distinct markets
67
Volume (90d)
$863.0K
avg $7,991 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$625.1K / $237.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 108 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 06:42 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.263$27.3KCheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 08:38 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.560$48.2K
Jul 18, 08:29 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.560$21.0K
Jul 15, 08:21 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?SELL YES0.613$15.9K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 06:01 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.362$37.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 04:47 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.388$20.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 02:52 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.405$2,019
Jul 12, 01:37 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.760$7,692Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:56 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.563$17.3K
Jul 12, 12:53 AMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?BUY YES0.150$3,133Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 10:47 PMExact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?SELL YES0.130$3,250— (SELL)
Jul 10, 06:57 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?BUY YES0.120$1,255Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 10:02 PMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?SELL YES0.999$7,493— (SELL)
Jul 9, 07:54 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.618$6,895Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 07:48 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.615$58.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 06:11 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL YES0.999$9,101— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:53 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL YES0.231$4,194— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:35 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.460$4,674
Jul 7, 04:22 PMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?SELL YES0.210$1,079— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:17 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.500$5,032
Jul 7, 03:55 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.740$7,458Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 11:34 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.340$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:50 PMWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.280$2,862Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 02:29 AMWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.323$1,006— (SELL)
Jul 6, 12:58 AMExact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?BUY YES0.170$1,743Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 11:51 PMWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.320$3,267Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 08:04 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.240$3,029Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 08:00 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.200$2,034Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 04:39 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.530$1,462
Jul 4, 01:25 AMWill Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY YES0.230$2,354Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 01:23 AMExact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?BUY YES0.130$1,335Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 12:54 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?SELL NO0.999$10.2K— (SELL)
Jul 3, 10:10 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.160$1,641Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 07:53 PMExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?SELL YES0.850$1,975— (SELL)
Jul 3, 05:51 PMExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?BUY YES0.180$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 05:50 PMExact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?BUY YES0.098$2,010Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 03:06 AMWill Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY YES0.317$3,240Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 11:35 PMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY YES0.280$2,375Cheap band — no rep
Jul 2, 10:58 PMExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?BUY YES0.130$2,670Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 10:57 PMExact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?BUY YES0.140$2,874Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 07:48 PMExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?BUY YES0.240$2,380Cheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 11:18 PMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.720$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 11:02 PMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.720$4,217Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 10:58 PMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.720$19.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:56 PMExact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?SELL YES0.811$1,454— (SELL)
Jul 1, 09:53 PMExact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?BUY YES0.799$1,558Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 08:24 PMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?SELL YES0.290$2,962— (SELL)
Jul 1, 08:19 PMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$3,064Cheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 04:36 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$2,076Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 07:19 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.770$7,794Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 07:16 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.760$35.5K— (SELL)
Jun 30, 07:16 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.760$2,527— (SELL)
Jun 30, 07:13 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.760$2,325— (SELL)
Jun 30, 07:13 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.760$35.7K— (SELL)
Jun 30, 06:29 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.770$81.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:03 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.770$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:00 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.430$3,000
Jun 30, 05:44 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.440$10,000
Jun 30, 05:38 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.770$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 05:05 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$2,145Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 07:36 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.410$1,500
Jun 29, 07:35 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.410$4,174
Jun 29, 07:34 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.740$7,458Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 07:33 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.740$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 03:46 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.560$1,500
Jun 29, 03:43 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.560$5,675
Jun 28, 08:35 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?SELL YES0.270$2,717— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:37 AMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?SELL YES0.999$20.4K— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:37 AMWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$4,215— (SELL)
Jun 28, 01:27 AMWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY YES0.960$2,487Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:45 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?SELL YES0.520$5,200— (SELL)
Jun 27, 11:29 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.540$11.0K
Jun 27, 11:27 PMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.590$11.9K
Jun 27, 11:26 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.540$11.0K
Jun 27, 09:08 PMWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY YES0.310$3,166Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 11:58 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.370$14.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 06:13 PMWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$3,691Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 10:21 PMWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.210$2,151Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:04 PMWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.220$2,253Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:01 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.442$4,495
Jun 25, 08:15 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.034$3,500— (SELL)
Jun 25, 08:11 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.560$2,505
Jun 24, 07:51 PMWill Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?BUY YES0.170$1,700Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 07:10 PMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.620$6,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:10 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.510$5,100
Jun 24, 07:09 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?BUY YES0.220$2,259Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 06:59 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.380$3,872Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 10:09 PMWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.240$2,400Cheap band — no rep
Jun 23, 10:02 PMWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY YES0.210$2,100Cheap band — no rep
Jun 23, 09:55 PMWill England win on 2026-06-23?SELL NO0.840$4,200— (SELL)
Jun 23, 08:22 PMWill England win on 2026-06-23?BUY NO0.200$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 10:00 PMWill Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$2,963Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 09:32 PMFrance leading at halftime?SELL YES0.942$9,870— (SELL)
Jun 22, 05:05 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.330$6,735Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 11:01 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?SELL YES0.880$8,800— (SELL)
Jun 21, 09:03 PMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$16.5K— (SELL)
Jun 21, 06:18 PMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 06:17 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.690$6,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:17 PMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?SELL YES0.220$2,252— (SELL)
Jun 21, 06:09 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.620$6,271Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:06 PMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY YES0.230$2,354Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 06:06 PMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$2,049Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 05:50 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?SELL YES0.999$19.9K— (SELL)
Jun 21, 04:10 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.870$2,693Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:21 PMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.670$6,767Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 02:51 AMWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.570$5,660— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:53 AMWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.590$5,900
Jun 13, 01:51 AMWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.670$4,840Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

67 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win on 2026-06-30?Other8$171.7K+$19.7K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other2$69.2K+$69.2K
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Other2$65.3K+$65.3K
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Other2$53.4K+$21.5K
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Other2$32.4K$-8,457
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Other5$30.5K+$3,869
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Other3$29.3K$-10,406
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Other1$27.3K+$27.3K
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Other3$27.1K+$16.7K
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Other3$26.6K+$26.6K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Other2$24.9K+$24.9K
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Other2$22.0K+$22.0K
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Other3$20.5K$-12,428
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Other2$15.7K$-1,900
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Other1$14.3K+$14.3K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Other2$13.0K+$13.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Other2$11.9K$-8,607
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$11.6K+$240
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Other1$10.2K+$10.2K
France leading at halftime?Other1$9,870$-9,870
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Other2$8,958+$8,958
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?Other1$7,493$-7,493
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Other2$7,175+$7,175
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Other1$6,735+$6,735
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Other2$6,702$-1,727
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Other1$6,271+$6,271
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Other1$6,200+$6,200
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Other2$6,200$-2,200
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Other2$6,027+$102
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Crypto2$5,674+$5,674

Showing top 30 by volume.