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bettguy

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x50f0…5355 with our methodology badges per row.

0x50f0a0fc7364d3c10fc4578b9b1d955368335355·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
30
lifetime
PnL per $
+50%
historical realized
Win rate
69.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.43M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
40
Distinct markets
24
Volume (90d)
$1.58M
avg $39.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.58M / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 40 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 06:40 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.320$18.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:14 PMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.200$16.5KConviction tier
Jul 15, 06:36 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.640$53.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:36 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.640$58.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:36 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.640$99.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:43 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.432$22.0K
Jul 12, 12:22 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.432$7,398
Jul 11, 08:22 PMJulián Álvarez: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.270$15.7KConviction tier
Jul 11, 06:39 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.507$41.3K
Jul 9, 07:35 PMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.170$1,937Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:11 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$43.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:11 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$1,354Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:11 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$64.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 08:53 PMWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.050$1,210Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 03:11 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY NO0.450$110.2K
Jul 3, 05:52 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.610$124.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 05:52 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.610$3,664Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 06:10 PMWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$13.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 12:13 AMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY YES0.340$9,823Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 12:13 AMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY YES0.340$12.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 12:13 AMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY YES0.340$86.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 05:22 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.530$4,879
Jun 27, 05:22 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.530$56.9K
Jun 27, 05:22 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.530$133.2K
Jun 26, 11:03 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.430$45.3K
Jun 26, 09:35 PMWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.370$75.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 06:44 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.720$180.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:21 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.700$20.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 06:49 PMWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$4,862Conviction tier
Jun 25, 06:49 PMWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$2,546Conviction tier
Jun 25, 06:49 PMWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$5,129Conviction tier
Jun 25, 06:49 PMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.189$78.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 06:18 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.240$6,632Conviction tier
Jun 25, 06:18 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.240$8,654Conviction tier
Jun 25, 12:19 AMWill South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?BUY YES0.260$19.5KConviction tier
Jun 25, 12:19 AMWill South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?BUY YES0.260$50.2KConviction tier
Jun 25, 12:19 AMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.160$40.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 09:18 PMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.070$23.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 09:09 PMWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY YES0.140$5,044Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 08:56 PMWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY YES0.130$6,343Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

24 markets · sorted by volume