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ShunTheNonBeliever.

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x50b9…4467 with our methodology badges per row.

0x50b9e4ca59b767769cc2de13ad9fc688de1d4467·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
+124%
historical realized
Win rate
36.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$28.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
20
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$35.1K
avg $1,756 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$14.9K / $20.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 20 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 4, 05:44 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.790$1,928— (SELL)
Jul 4, 02:49 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.790$1,278— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:17 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.740$1,171— (SELL)
Jul 2, 02:27 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.700$1,015— (SELL)
Jul 1, 09:19 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.710$1,490Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 07:14 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.710$2,982Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 05:21 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.690$3,077— (SELL)
Jul 1, 04:33 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY NO0.700$1,148Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:14 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.680$1,917— (SELL)
Jul 1, 02:34 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL NO0.680$1,278— (SELL)
Jun 13, 02:01 PM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.520$1,284—
Jun 6, 10:40 AM0x6114a8a3BUY NO0.810$4,130Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 10:40 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.920$3,685— (SELL)
Jun 5, 03:04 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.880$1,056— (SELL)
May 26, 03:57 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.547$1,083—
May 26, 03:56 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.750$1,083— (SELL)
May 26, 03:05 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.549$1,083—
May 26, 03:05 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.750$1,083— (SELL)
May 25, 05:05 PM0xe04f341bSELL NO0.998$1,601— (SELL)
May 21, 09:10 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY NO0.720$1,740Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Tech10$17.3K$-6,044
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other5$8,647$-835
0x6114a8a3—2$5,414+$5,414
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other2$2,165$-2,165
0xe04f341b—1$1,601$-1,601