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chilloutTt
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4d70…2698 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
-46%
historical realized
Win rate
44.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$83.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 19 resolved trades · -46% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
22
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$87.6K
avg $3,980 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$44.0K / $43.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 22 · 90d windowMarkets active in
8 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 4 | $40.5K | $-512 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 8 | $19.7K | +$3,479 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $8,761 | +$783 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Tech | 2 | $8,151 | +$1,849 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $3,283 | $-3,283 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw? | Other | 2 | $2,961 | +$39 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | Other | 2 | $2,531 | $-135 |
| 0xb7dd41c1 | — | 1 | $1,693 | $-1,693 |