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0x4c68…6162
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4c68…6162 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
-22%
historical realized
Win rate
74.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$27.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · -22% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
4
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$37.8K
avg $9,438 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$37.8K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 4 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 04:05 PM | 0x99a0fdc1 | BUY YES | 0.964 | $2,475 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 04:52 PM | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY YES | 0.805 | $15.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 04:50 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $15.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 04:49 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.971 | $5,049 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Other | 1 | $15.2K | +$15.2K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | 1 | $15.1K | +$15.1K |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | Other | 1 | $5,049 | +$5,049 |
| 0x99a0fdc1 | — | 1 | $2,475 | +$2,475 |