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refzer
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4b2f…1627 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
34
lifetime
PnL per $
-15%
historical realized
Win rate
83.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$457.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 34 resolved trades · -15% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
46
Distinct markets
16
Volume (90d)
$849.5K
avg $18.5K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$688.1K / $161.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 46 · 90d windowMarkets active in
16 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x789c947a | — | 5 | $139.3K | +$139.3K |
| 0x1db02ba5 | — | 3 | $131.4K | +$131.4K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Other | 10 | $127.3K | $-23,675 |
| 0x924a2942 | — | 1 | $86.0K | $-85,958 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | Tech | 1 | $75.0K | +$75.0K |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18? | Other | 1 | $73.0K | +$73.0K |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Politics | 8 | $68.2K | +$68.2K |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Politics | 5 | $41.4K | +$41.4K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Other | 3 | $23.0K | +$23.0K |
| 0x2509daa2 | — | 1 | $21.7K | +$21.7K |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Other | 2 | $21.3K | +$21.3K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Other | 2 | $11.8K | +$11.8K |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Politics | 1 | $11.0K | +$11.0K |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | 1 | $10.9K | +$10.9K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | Other | 1 | $5,051 | +$5,051 |
| 0xb24aa722 | — | 1 | $3,139 | +$3,139 |