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loser124
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4aba…9e7c with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
+1%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$30.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · 1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
4
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$30.6K
avg $7,644 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$30.6K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 4 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 01:22 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $16.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 09:03 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $9,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 02:52 AM | 0x742c6ad7 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,584 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 12:04 AM | 0x5e5482b1 | BUY NO | 0.956 | $3,788 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Politics | 1 | $16.2K | +$16.2K |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $9,000 | +$9,000 |
| 0x5e5482b1 | — | 1 | $3,788 | +$3,788 |
| 0x742c6ad7 | — | 1 | $1,584 | +$1,584 |