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Surpriced-Legacy
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4834…1bfa with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
+274%
historical realized
Win rate
93.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$78.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
16
Distinct markets
2
Volume (90d)
$80.0K
avg $4,999 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$6,151 / $73.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 16 · 90d windowMarkets active in
2 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 15 | $78.9K | $-68,738 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Other | 1 | $1,048 | +$1,048 |