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asparagus2012

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x476e…396d with our methodology badges per row.

0x476e1322d1a412fa0325527b8c3bc5e707b1396d·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
51
lifetime
PnL per $
+546%
historical realized
Win rate
90.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$345.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
51
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$345.4K
avg $6,773 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$345.4K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 51 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 14, 01:20 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.216$7,120Conviction tier
Jul 14, 12:38 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.214$10.7KConviction tier
Jul 14, 12:36 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.214$10.7KConviction tier
Jul 14, 09:39 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.213$17.3KConviction tier
Jul 14, 07:22 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.212$19.5KConviction tier
Jul 14, 07:22 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.212$10.6KConviction tier
Jul 14, 07:21 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.212$10.6KConviction tier
Jul 14, 07:19 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.212$10.6KConviction tier
Jul 14, 07:17 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.212$10.6KConviction tier
Jul 14, 07:17 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.212$10.6KConviction tier
Jul 14, 07:14 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.212$10.6KConviction tier
Jul 13, 05:19 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.295$7,831Conviction tier
Jun 30, 02:06 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.113$6,551Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 08:26 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$22.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:06 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$5,016Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:06 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$1,704Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:06 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$2,497Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:06 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$7,555Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:06 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$1,768Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 01:05 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.058$2,455Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:52 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$36.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:51 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:51 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:50 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:50 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 06:50 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:49 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:49 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 06:49 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 06:49 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:49 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:29 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.108$1,261Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:28 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 06:26 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.060$13.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:21 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.107$7,612Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 06:00 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 05:50 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.107$3,210Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:50 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 05:50 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 05:49 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.107$5,350Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:49 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.059$1,562Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:41 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 05:40 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 05:39 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.106$13.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:37 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$1,400
Jun 28, 05:36 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.058$1,533Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:36 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.106$5,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:36 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.106$5,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:29 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.058$1,160Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:28 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.106$5,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:26 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.106$5,300Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

4 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech35$303.5K+$303.5K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$20.1K+$20.1K
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other10$14.0K+$14.0K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Tech1$7,831+$7,831