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schizohedgehog

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4755…4158 with our methodology badges per row.

0x4755188644460fc8140a18ccefc1e80b6a5e4158·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
51
lifetime
PnL per $
-32%
historical realized
Win rate
62.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$585.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 51 resolved trades · -32% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
70
Distinct markets
15
Volume (90d)
$794.7K
avg $11.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$492.2K / $302.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 70 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 15, 06:19 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY NO0.920$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:18 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL NO0.880$12.2K— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:48 PMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY NO0.901$5,099Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:47 PMTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?SELL NO0.900$5,236— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:46 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.920$18.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:46 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL NO0.880$18.9K— (SELL)
Jul 14, 12:31 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.870$16.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.879$87.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 07:39 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.840$16.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 07:24 PMWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY NO0.625$1,412Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 02:40 PMTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?SELL NO0.880$1,034— (SELL)
Jun 29, 01:42 PMTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY NO0.748$7,912Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 01:42 PMTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY NO0.760$22.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 01:41 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL NO0.998$33.1K— (SELL)
Jun 29, 08:45 AMWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY NO0.799$9,590Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 08:44 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL NO0.998$9,980— (SELL)
Jun 29, 03:56 AMWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY NO0.772$5,808Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 03:56 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL NO0.998$6,986— (SELL)
Jun 28, 09:08 PMWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY NO0.745$1,545Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:07 PMWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?SELL NO0.999$2,191— (SELL)
Jun 13, 10:10 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.980$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 10:09 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.979$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 10:08 AMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.978$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 10:08 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?SELL NO0.990$34.7K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 03:17 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.978$8,660Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:16 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?SELL NO0.992$8,662— (SELL)
Jun 12, 02:17 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY NO0.978$5,751Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 02:17 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?SELL NO0.994$5,254— (SELL)
Jun 12, 12:12 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY NO0.840$5,385Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:12 PMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY NO0.828$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 12:12 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.991$16.5K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 11:40 AMTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?BUY NO0.979$15.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:39 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.992$1,985— (SELL)
Jun 12, 11:39 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?SELL NO0.992$13.9K— (SELL)
Jun 5, 07:06 PMEthereum flipped in 2026?BUY YES0.990$3,887Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 07:06 PMEthereum flipped in 2026?BUY YES0.960$5,122Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 06:09 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY NO0.986$40.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 02:04 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.700$3,207— (SELL)
May 30, 09:34 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.720$9,407— (SELL)
May 30, 09:32 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.730$5,593— (SELL)
May 30, 05:08 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL YES0.750$27.0K— (SELL)
May 29, 03:48 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.776$52.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 03:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.840$3,633— (SELL)
May 29, 05:16 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.910$17.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 05:06 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.570$1,062— (SELL)
May 29, 04:23 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.900$2,984Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 04:19 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.720$2,221— (SELL)
May 29, 03:48 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.900$2,661Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 03:47 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.776$3,535— (SELL)
May 29, 03:25 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.910$3,185Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 03:25 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.800$3,214— (SELL)
May 29, 03:23 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.910$6,880Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 03:22 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.787$6,942— (SELL)
May 28, 09:06 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.890$20.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 09:04 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.980$20.9K— (SELL)
May 28, 05:36 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.929$9,762Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 05:36 AMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.981$9,808— (SELL)
May 26, 09:49 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.970$7,329Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 09:48 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.969$4,407Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 09:48 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.980$11.8K— (SELL)
May 26, 08:22 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.969$3,209Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 08:22 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.980$3,209— (SELL)
May 26, 08:20 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.967$1,595Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 06:10 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.966$1,931Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:44 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.970$7,760Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 02:43 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.980$7,800— (SELL)
May 26, 12:10 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.980$4,386Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 12:10 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.980$4,393— (SELL)
May 26, 12:08 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.980$8,256Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 12:07 PMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL NO0.982$8,197— (SELL)

Markets active in

15 markets · sorted by volume