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0x471D4fa9c4f0E3f2e6F31dCc109998Cd954d2Fa7-1782833500772

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x471d…2fa7 with our methodology badges per row.

0x471d4fa9c4f0e3f2e6f31dcc109998cd954d2fa7·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
+134%
historical realized
Win rate
52.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$230.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
21
Distinct markets
15
Volume (90d)
$266.3K
avg $12.7K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$149.3K / $117.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 21 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 7, 03:09 PMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?BUY YES0.100$4,791Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 02:52 PMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?BUY YES0.170$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 09:10 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?SELL YES0.999$19.6K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 07:02 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.485$9,817
Jul 4, 03:58 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.550$20.5K
Jul 3, 08:00 PMExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?SELL YES0.999$19.8K— (SELL)
Jul 3, 05:19 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.410$8,651
Jul 3, 05:13 PMExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?BUY YES0.170$3,362Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 05:13 PMExact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?BUY YES0.100$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 01:29 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.487$11.0K
Jul 2, 09:09 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY NO0.422$9,570
Jul 2, 03:30 PMExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?BUY YES0.120$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 10:35 PMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.720$18.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:40 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?SELL YES0.950$17.8K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 06:08 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.260$4,868Conviction tier
Jun 30, 11:06 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.440$6,293
Jun 30, 10:38 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.999$42.4K— (SELL)
Jun 30, 07:28 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.780$33.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:52 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.850$6,156— (SELL)
Jun 30, 06:51 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.852$11.3K— (SELL)
Jun 30, 04:36 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.450$9,200

Markets active in

15 markets · sorted by volume